The people's trial that began in the wake of the Itaewon accident - The horror of a country where all citizens think they are jurors
2022-11-07
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Is President Yoon responsible for the Itaewon accident?
It appears that a candlelight demonstration was held in Itaewon, Seoul on Halloween in the name of commemorating the victims. South Korea is apparently the country of demonstrations, but organizers said ``５０,０００ people gathered.'' Police estimate the number of participants to be ９,０００. The purpose seems to be to hold the current President Yoon's administration responsible for the Itaewon accident and demand his resignation.
A surprising public opinion poll was conducted
A public opinion poll was conducted, and found that the government was responsible for the Itaewon disaster.７３.１% said it was responsible, ２３.３% said it was not responsible, and ５３% said it was extremely responsible. Considering whether the decision should be based on public opinion polls in the first place, I wonder if South Korea's famous all-citizen jury trial system has started again. In the first place, it must be said that he is in a state of cessation of thinking, meaning that he does not have the composure to analyze the responsibility and causes of the problem.
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In response to the Itaewon Halloween accident in South Korea, President Yoon prioritizes the settlement of the accident as a matter of national policy - The settlement of the accident is a matter of [Contents]
A barren argument if it comes down to civic consciousness
The same idea as China will not solve the problem
Could the accident have been prevented?
Sufficient predictability
There was a way to prevent the accident
Halloween in Shibuya under police guard
DJ Police in action
Closing accidents is a matter of course
After the Halloween accident in Itaewon, South Korea, there seems to be a lot of public opinion in South Korea. It seems that there are opinions on social media such as ``It's a problem with young people's manners,'' and ``Let's raise citizen awareness.'' There was even an opinion that there was a person who pushed from behind, and that person should be identified. A crowd accident is when everyone is pushed from behind.
This is exactly the same as the summary of the Shanghai accident. In the case of the Shanghai Bund accident, the conclusion was to raise public awareness in China. Of course, the issue of public awareness is not irrelevant. If you can't walk in line and keep your turn, it will easily lead to crowd accidents. But how do you explain the mass accident that occurred in Japan, which is said to be the most lined up in the world? No matter how much you raise your awareness, accidents still happen.
Minister of Public Administration and Safety Lee Sang-min appears to have become a controversial issue when he said, “The problem could not have been resolved by deploying police and firefighters in advance.” CNN and the Washington Post seem to point to problems with police security and operations. This is the correct answer. It's clear that the Chief of Administration and Safety himself is not aware of the problem, even after the catastrophe of that magnitude.
In the trial for the pedestrian bridge accident at the Akashi Fireworks Festival, the question was whether it was predictable and whether the accident could have been prevented. As for predictability, it was clear to everyone that an event would be held and many people would gather. It is said that the street where the accident happened in Seoul was also a place where many people could easily gather. In other words, it can be said that there was foreseeability .
As for whether or not the accident could have been prevented, the Akashi trial explained the physical mechanism that causes a shogi overthrow. It was proven that 13 to 15 people per square meter were densely packed on the pedestrian bridge. It was also proved that the pressure concentrates on the corners and edges of the passage. In other words, it can be concluded that there is a high possibility that fatal accidents caused by knocking down shogi would not have occurred if, at the very least, less than 5 people per square meter were arranged and spaces were created at both ends of the aisles. Humans don't die from being pushed from behind.
Only the police or security guards assigned to guard the event can direct traffic. On this day, 200 police officers were mobilized in South Korea to guard Halloween, which means the accident was preventable. The method is to secure space at both ends, and once a certain group of people pass through, they will be regulated, and after opening the space, the next group will be allowed to walk.
120,000 people visited Shibuya at its peak for Halloween last night. Many police officers are conducting walking guidance. On top of a large police vehicle, a police officer makes an announcement over a loudspeaker and gives instructions to pedestrians. This is installed in several places in the shopping district of Shibuya, and it monitors whether there are too many crowds from above and whether there are any troubles.
The police officers who make this announcement are called "DJ police" and are familiar to young people. The announcements are made with humor, and even young people who do not listen to instructions when they are in a group will listen to funny police officers. In 2013, one male and one female police officer were awarded the Chief Police Officer's Award for this novel method of guarding against crowds.
Even if you watch the video of the accident in Itaewon, you can't see the police in the middle of the street.there is almost no police officer's walk near the entrance. President Yoon said, ``The top priority of national affairs is to settle the accident and respond to it.'' This is a matter of course. Transport the injured to the hospital, and if the street where the accident occurred returns to its original state, the accident will be settled. What is necessary is to investigate the cause and formulate specific measures to prevent recurrence
The police is under administrative jurisdiction and is under the jurisdiction of the prefectural police
Japan's police force is handled by the National Police Agency, which has administrative jurisdiction. The National Police Agency will be positioned as a special organization within the Public Safety Commission, which is an external bureau of the Cabinet. Rather than directing and supervising the National Police Agency on individual cases, the Public Safety Commission sets general policies and supervises whether they are being operated appropriately.
As it is an administrative organ, the main body of work lies with local governments, and prefectural police are responsible for accidents and incidents that occur under their jurisdiction. Hyogo Prefectural Police was held responsible for the Akashi fireworks display accident, and Nara Prefectural Police was held responsible for Abe's assassination.
Is the president in charge of Halloween?
They seem to be claiming that the president is responsible for the Itaewon accident, but that is not the case at all under Japanese law. What about Korean law? Normally, responsibility should be assumed by the person in charge, but does this mean that President Yoon should grasp the details of the security system and issue instructions regarding Halloween security? Or should we have decided by presidential order that this is how we should enjoy the Halloween festival?
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President Yun Seok - Yeol was criticized for not demanding an apology from Japan during Korea Liberation Day! Countries demanding an apology on the day the war ended.
Enthusiasm to repair Japan-Korea relations
A country that expects grudge festival on the day of the end of the war
It is clear that it will change again if the government changes
Promises between Japan and South Korea that have been repeatedly broken
Background of countries that fail to keep their promises
It appears that President Yun Seok-Yeong's speech at Liberation Day is under attack. It is said that he only shouted for freedom 33 times in his speech on Liberation Day, but did not hear a single word demanding an apology on the 77th anniversary of Liberation Day.
In the first place, it can be said that it is abnormal that 77 years have passed and an apology is still being requested at a national ceremony.
Every country holds some type of event on Victory Day or the End of World War Day, but avoid using expressions that suggest that the country is still considered an enemy country. This is a matter of course if there are diplomatic relations, which is international common sense.
Will Israeli President Herzog give a speech on the anniversary of the end of the war, saying that Jews still hold a grudge against Germans? It can be said that this is a completely meaningless political action.
In any case, although President Yun Seok-Yeong's desire to improve Japan-Korea relations is highly commendable, even if we make some kind of promise with him, we have no idea what will happen once his term ends.
In Japan, it has been reported that the agreement between Japan and South Korea was broken during the era of former President Moon Jae-in, but diplomatic relations were restored in 1965, and the Japan-Korea Joint Declaration was issued in 1998, and concrete Japan-Korea exchanges were established. have started, but they are already in an invalid state. The Japan-Korea Joint Declaration collapsed within two years.
In other words, the fact remains that South Korea is not in a position to keep its promises. Therein lies the essential problem. The best-selling book Anti-Japanese Tribalism written by Korean professor Lee Yong-hoon describes anti-Japanese as shamanism that goes beyond logic. It is truly an anti-Japanese religion.
Moon Jae In Cancelled of Visiting Japan Prime Minister Suga's remarks at a press conference: I havsaid I will treat him with diplomatic manner if President Moon will come to Japan.Along with the announcement of the president's postponement, South Korea has expressed its hope for the success of the Tokyo Olympics and Paralympics.I would like to keep this in mind.Furthermore, in order to restore Japan-South Korea relations to a healthy relationship, we would like to continue to communicate firmly with South Korea based on Japan's consistent stance."
The first point is to respond politely to visiting Japan (meaning participate in the opening ceremony of the Olympics).It didn't mean a summit meeting.
The second point is to communicate firmly with South Korea based on Japan's consistent position (assuming that Japan does not make concessions).
Whether Moon Jae In had completely misread these two points or pretended not to understand them, they had passed each other from the very beginning.
Yoon Seok - yeol wins the 20th presidential election...with a narrow margin of 1 percentage point.
Yoon Seok-yeol of the opposition party won the 20th presidential election by a narrow margin of 1 percent.Conservative parties have taken back the chair where pro-China and pro-North Korean left-wing presidents sat for five years.Yoon strongly criticized the Moon Jae In administration's policies and is eager to improve relations with Japan by taking a pro-U.S. stance.However, there are many concerns.
The future of the Korean economy, which relies heavily on the Chinese economy, is uncertain because the Democratic Party won about 60% of the seats in the 2020 general elections and Yoon Seok-yeol mentioned the deployment of THAAD.And even if Japan is eager to improve relations, it is based on Japan's apology and compensation, and in fact, it is drawing a starting line in the same place as the Moon Jae In administration.
The Japanese government is expected to remain parallel for a while because it is difficult to change its position that it has already been resolved through the Japan-South Korea Claim Agreement and the Japanese Military Sexual Slavery Agreement.However, the anti-Japanese movement is expected to subside as Korea's anti-Japanese sentiment is limited to Japanese Military Sexual Slavery and recruitment issues, but the Japanese government is expected to use U.S. power to demand an apology from Japan.
The election results are close to 1%, so regions with significant results are:
North Gyeongsang Province: 72.83% for Yoon Seok-yeol, 23.73% for Lee Jae-myeong
North Jeolla Province: 83.05% for Lee Jae-myeong, 14.36% for Yoon Seok-yeol
South Jeolla Province: Lee Jae-myeong 86.22%, Yoon Seok-yeol 11.34%
Gwangju Metropolitan City: Lee Jae-myeong 85%, Yoon Seok-yeol 12.56%
The difference is between 5% and 20% at most, regardless of which of the four regions is dominant.In any case, Lee Jae-myung's approval rating is close to 1 percent depending on the Honam region.Lee Jae-myung won only in Gyeonggi Province, Sejong Special Self-Governing Province, and Jeju Special Self-Governing Province.I heard that Moon Jae In also became president with the support of the Honam region.This is an enthusiastic pro-China anti-Japanese area, and this is probably the central area where they want to sell their seafood by inciting harmful rumors of Fukushima Prefecture seafood and criticizing Fukushima treated water.
First of all, it's a good thing that a conservative president takes office as a choice for better one, but Japan needs to calmly identify the other person.
The exchange won rate has not stopped falling.The No Japan movement is a campaign to buy domestic products.Nothing will change under the chaebol economy.
South Korea's trade dependence on GDP is more than 70 percent, including the service sector.In other words, domestic demand is low and foreign exchange is directly affected.Even if foreign demand is received, it does not circulate at home and flows abroad.If the person who made the purchase contract increases the dollar by 5% at the time of payment, the payment will increase by 5%.The won-dollar exchange rate is 1,200 won, but it has been hovering around 1,200 won in recent days.
In order to maintain international competitiveness, chaebol companies such as SAMSUNG buy parts in bulk and produce them in bulk to reduce costs and sell them at low prices.In this case, large debts are always carried out and large payments are repeated, and problems arise when the value of the currency changes significantly during that period.This is the so-called default.Under these circumstances, the won's international credit rating has not increased, and South Korean companies can trade in dollars depending on the L/C of Japanese commercial banks.
South Korea experienced two foreign exchange crises in 1997 and 2008.No country will experience two foreign exchange crises in 10 years.In other words, South Korea's industrial form is vulnerable, and in short, it is trading beyond its currency capabilities.
Considering what Moon Jae In wants to do, the real intention is to socialize, control the currency, and stabilize the value of the won.Do you think the boycott is a campaign to buy domestic goods if it is reversed?
South Korea is listed by the FRB as a currency manipulator.
The reason why domestic demand is not expanding is the existence of chaebol companies.The role of chaebol companies in driving the Korean economy is important, but on the other hand, investment in chaebol companies is concentrated and other industries are not growing.In addition to the businesses run by chaebol companies, how can Korean companies grow globally?It can only be done with its own money without investment.
This structure will not change even if there is a boycott Japan.As a currency manipulator, even if it leaves the liberal economy, it will not change.It is necessary for the government to take the lead in fostering domestic demand and to attract investment in what industries to foster domestic small and medium-sized enterprises.The boycott Japan does not mean that South Korean domestic companies' sales will increase.
Moon Jae In's term of office is less than three months, and criticism from his country seems to be gathering.I think it's quite late from Japan view.
Anti - Korean sentiment in the world
When comparing data from the BBC on positive and negative impressions of Japan and South Korea, a surprising number of countries have a negative impression of South Korea (Reference wiki)
Japan has been at war with China in the past, so we can predict China's feelings towards Japan, but what exactly is South Korea like? Regarding China's sentiments toward South Korea, relations between China and South Korea deteriorated in 2016 when South Korea decided to deploy THAAD, but even if you look at domestic surveys conducted before then, it appears that China's reputation towards South Korea was quite unfavorable.
2007 "Xinhua News Agency" survey results: South Korea ranks first in "neighbors I don't like"
2007 “Tengai Community” survey results. ``Most hated country'' South Korea ranks first
2009 “Global Network” survey results. 94.6% of respondents said they did not have a favorable impression of South Korea.
It has long been pointed out that anti-Japanese campaigns around the world are a strategy to tarnish Japan's image, given that Japan and South Korea have similar industrial structures in the face of global competition.
But when you look at the data... In the first place, isn't the idea that one benefits by degrading others itself wrong?
