Will Xi Jinping's reform and opening-up policy continue to be revised in his third term? - There is no change in his ambition to unify Taiwan.
2022-10-29
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Xi Jinping's third term begins
With the end of the Communist Party Congress and the start of Xi Jinping's third term, various reports have been made. Taken as a whole, it seems that the direction of revision of the reform and opening-up policy since Deng Xiaoping has been indicated. The results of Xi Jinping's economic policies are unclear in every sense, but it is clear that China's economy has grown due to the reform and opening-up path initiated by Deng Xiaoping, the partial introduction of market economic theory, and U.S.-China relations. Although Xi Jinping does not explicitly criticize these, what he is doing appears to be aiming for a return to the old style of Chinese socialism.
Will the reform and opening-up policy continue to be revised?
Although this is a country where individuals cannot own real estate, laws that allow individuals to buy and sell rented real estate are restricting growing real estate companies and forcing them into bankruptcy, and reining in the heads of growing companies like Alibaba. Does Xi Jinping think that these economic elements are a threat to China's socialist forces that were born on the path of reform and opening up? I have to say that his sense of being a threat is correct. This is because a liberal economy will destroy the socialist system.
Free industrial investment is essential for industrial growth
In order for the economy to continue to grow, we must ensure as much freedom as possible. There are limits to simply investing in certain industries that the country has chosen as part of its national policy. A process in which these industrial investments are opened up to the private sector, private banks are free to make industrial investments, and private companies are free to commercialize services that have never existed before is an essential condition.
What is necessary to continue economic growth
Various freedoms are essential for this, including freedom of speech, freedom of thought and belief, and academic freedom. This creates new social norms and new ways of living, which in turn leads to the creation of new products and services. Plants have a chance to flourish when they grow freely as intended.
No change in ambition to annex Taiwan
Critics say that Xi Jinping has chosen stability over growth. What is worrisome, however, is that there has been no change to the ambition to unify Taiwan. Such restorationists are likely to advocate nationalism and wage wars of aggression. You can imagine this by looking at the current President Putin.
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China's strategy for archipelago warfare.upside - down map reveals one's ambition to enter the Pacific Ocean
This is a map of the archipelago line from China.From China's point of view, the First Archipelago Line is designed to contain China in the ocean.The presence of American troops in Okinawa is also an important point.China cannot break through the line without the understanding of other countries, and on the contrary, it is said that U.S. nuclear submarines can easily cross the first archipelago line into Chinese territorial waters.
Now China is trying to make all the inside of the First Archipelago Line belong to China.That's Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, and the Nansha Islands .The second archipelago line runs all the way to Guam.In recent years, many Chinese ships have been seen in Japan's Ogasawara Islands.The Ogasawara Islands are located almost on the second archipelago line from the Japanese archipelago to Guam.
The Third Archipelago Line leads to Hawaii .The U.S. military has already sealed China close to China, but China aims to acquire Taiwan and the Senkaku Islands, reach the second and third islands, and eventually acquire Hawaii.If China takes over Hawaii, it will be able to attack the U.S. mainland based there.
If Taiwan is recognized by the state and Japan and Taiwan are included in the alliance, the South China Sea will be covered from the north, while China will not be able to enter the Pacific Ocean.In other words, the QUAD and Taiwan policies advocated by former Prime Minister Abe are correct .In QUAD, it would be even stronger if the Philippines, Malaysia, and Vietnam could be introduced from Australia and India across the sea.Collaboration between Japan, the United States and Taiwan will also be able to function as part of this.
Don't let China go to the Pacific Ocean.Japan is in danger of Chinese ships and submarines from all directions.
Korea has the largest ODA per population.China Appreciates Japan's Economic Aid
According to Japan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, ODA to China totaled about 3.9 trillion yen from 1979 to 2016.More than 60% of China's foreign aid is from Japan.Shanghai Pudong International Airport, Beijing Capital International Airport, Lanzhou, Wuhan, and Xi'an airports were also built with Japanese aid.In addition, 5,200 kilometers of railways, Beijing sewage treatment plants, Sino-Japanese Friendship Hospital, Beijing Subway, Chongqing Railway, and major ports have been built and expanded.
Since the 2000s, JICA has been training more than 15,000 managers and HIDA has been training more than 22,000.Former General Secretary Deng Xiaoping and former General Secretary Hu Jintao officially thanked each other.Recently, Deputy Spokesman Hua Chunying thanked Japan, saying, "Japan's ODA has contributed greatly to China's reform and opening-up and economic development," adding, "We will discuss new cooperative relations with Japan."
Although there are territorial issues in Sino-Japanese relations, the Chinese government officially acknowledges that Japan has contributed greatly to China's development.
The amount of ODA to South Korea is 650.2 billion yen, but the total value of $500 million, including free financial cooperation and private cooperation, is said to be 2-3 trillion yen.Compared to China, South Korea has the most aid in terms of ODA costs per population.
Japan apologized to South Korea several times during the annexation of South Korea and Japan, but South Korea did not remember.I don't think Japan remembers being thanked by South Korea, but this is more true.On the contrary, after the end of ODA program for South Korea in 1990, the problem of recruiting workers and Japanese Military comfort woman grew.Is it just my imagination that they seem to have started after end of ODA.
Since the end of ODA to South Korea, the anti-Japanese movement in South Korea has become popular.Is this a coincidence?
Four basic documents and four agreements between Japan and China - The difference between Japan - China diplomacy and Japan - Korea diplomacy is that Japan and Korea do not have accumulated diplomat
Four agreements between Japan and China signed with former Prime Minister Abe
Four basic documents during Japan and China
History of diplomacy since the restoration of diplomatic relations
The key to diplomacy amid difficult Japan-China relations
There are no accumulated assets in Japan-Korea relations
In response to the news of Prime Minister Abe's death, a Chinese spokesperson said that he had made a great contribution to the development of Japan-China relations. In 2012, the issue of the Senkaku Islands came to light and anti-Japanese demonstrations broke out, and Prime Minister Abe held a Japan-China summit meeting in APAC and reached an agreement on four points.
Four agreements between Japan and ChinaBoth sides will abide by the principles and spirit of the four basic documents between Japan and China, and They confirmed that they would continue to develop a mutually beneficial strategic relationship.
Both sides reached some consensus on the need to face history squarely, follow the spirit of looking toward the future, and overcome the political difficulties affecting bilateral relations.
Both sides recognize that they have different views on the recent tense situation in the waters of the East China Sea, including the Senkaku Islands, and through dialogue and consultation, prevent the situation from deteriorating and establish a crisis management mechanism. There was a consensus on the need to avoid unforeseen situations.
Both sides agreed to gradually resume political, diplomatic, and security dialogue by utilizing various multilateral and bilateral channels, and to strive to build a relationship of mutual political trust.
These are the four agreements that China often refers to. The four basic documents in item 1 are:
Four basic documents between Japan and China1972 Japan-China Joint Declaration1978 Japan-China Treaty of Peace and Friendship 1998 Japan-China Joint Declaration on Building a Partnership of Friendship and Cooperation for Peace and Development 2008 Japan-China Joint Statement on the Comprehensive Promotion of “Mutually Beneficial Relations”
means.
The first of the four agreements promised that both sides would abide by the treaties and agreements they had signed so far. This also means that Japan-China relations are based on four documents that Chinese spokesmen frequently comment on. Although China is a country with many problems internationally, it is said that China is principled, and this is where the diplomatic axis between Japan and China lies.
Japan-China relations and Japan-Korea relations have completely different positions and histories. However, the biggest difference is that since South Korea has scrapped all previous agreements, there are no diplomatic assets that Japan and South Korea have accumulated politically and diplomatically.
Both China and South Korea have recently become Asian countries that neither of them want to associate with, but their diplomatic relations have completely different histories.
falsification of China's GDP This was revealed after the collapse of the Soviet Union, but only half of its GDP was exist.In the 56 years from 1929 to 1985, national income was 90 times (actually 6.5 times).The average growth rate was 8.3 percent, but actually 3.3 percent.Even U.S. Nobel laureate Paul Samuern believes in Soviet statistics and said the Soviet Union is growing.To that extent, the method of falsifying statistics was meticulous.
The People's Republic of China, founded in 1949, has carried out reforms, but it was the Soviet Embassy that served as the headquarters.Also after Mao Zedong's Cultural Revolution and Deng Xiaoping's reform and opening-up, statistical methods continued.China is not capitalism.When foreign companies establish their own companies in China, they cannot take out the capital they have invested in because it is a joint venture.GDP tampering is effective in attracting foreign investment and does not need to be returned.
Both state capitalism and communism have failed in China - Unemployment rate continues to increase.
The reason why it's funny that the number of unemployed people in China is increasing is because China is a socialist and communist country. Communism rejects capitalists and defines them as the root cause of social evil that exploits people. The state confiscates the produced goods. In other words, the state controls businesses and other things that produce social benefits. Even land is not private property. The state distributes the income generated from this. Therefore, the governments of communist countries have tremendous power. Because there is only the nation and the people.
Capitalism has a completely different structure. Based on a free economy, free competition produces people who drop out and become unemployed. To prevent this, we will reduce the unemployment rate by increasing new employment. To achieve this, it is necessary to promote industry and develop new fields. Viewed in this way, both communism and capitalism have one thing in common: the economic policies carried out by the state boil down to employment policies. Companies seek sales, but the nation seeks to secure employment for all its citizens.
In that sense, communism operates from a system design that does not inherently create unemployment, whereas capitalist countries, on the other hand, have a system design that creates unemployment, and fill it with economic growth and employment policies. That's what it means.
So why is there so many unemployed people in China? In capitalist countries, when the economy is in decline, the only way to reduce the unemployment rate is to foster industry and increase employment, but communist countries must have a system designed and operated in which the state forcibly distributes goods.
In other words, the original distribution is not working. Or, vested interests have increased and they cannot control it, and communism is no longer possible. And as a result of continuing something like state capitalism, all of these things are failing.
