Is the orange devil that is so popular in Taiwan a brilliant strategy of President Tsai Ing - wen? Japan should also learn from Taiwan.
2022-10-23
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Orange devil is very popular in Taiwan
It seems that the Kyoto Tachibana High School boom in Taiwan has not subsided yet. Japanese high school students, known as the ``orange devils,'' were invited to Taiwan's Double Ten Festival and gave a spectacular performance to appeal for friendship between Japan and Taiwan.
The Double Ten Festival is a ceremony that celebrates Taiwan's National Foundation Day, and it is unusual for a high school student from a foreign country to appear as the main event. What's more, there was even a surprise appearance by President Tsai Ing-wen during the tour of the Presidential Palace. In Taiwan, Japan is a senior country in liberal democracy, and as we were once the same country for ５０ years, there is a lot of interest in Japan.
Free youth is a symbol of democracy
It appears that this ``orange devil'' was invited to the ceremony as a symbol of liberal democracy. In other words, this is an excellent performance by the Tsai Ing-wen administration. In the ２０２４ presidential election, Taiwanese people will choose a national ideology. It is not an election about which side will be economically richer, but a choice between liberal democracy and Chinese-style socialism .
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Why did President Tsai Ing - wen invite Kyoto Tachibana High School to the Double Ten Festival? - Taiwan's future entrusted to future generations.
Kyoto Tachibana High School where Taiwan was crazy
Japan's national defense and the Taiwan Strait issue are inseparable
Taiwan's democratization is a recent event
Danger of being swallowed up by China in the next election
Japan should convey the value of democracy
Regarding why Kyoto Tachibana High School's brass band (Orange Devil) was invited to Taiwan's National Foundation Day ceremony, President Tsai Ing-wen looked ahead to the presidential election in 2024 and asked the next generation who will have the right to vote at that time. It appears that Kyoto Tachibana High School was entrusted with a strong message. In the last presidential election in Taiwan, President Tsai Ing-wen came from behind to win despite being at an overwhelming disadvantage. The Taiwan Democratic Progressive Party itself analyzes that the reason for this is that young people are heading to the polls. It is said that the younger generation in Taiwan is starting to develop a sense of democratic values.
Japan should think more seriously about its national defense. There is no objection to considering the Taiwan Strait as an issue that is inseparable from Japan's national defense. What is needed to achieve this is strengthening Japan-US relations and discussing constitutional revision. But is that enough?
Taiwan's democratization began with the direct election of the president in 1996. It was written by former President Lee Teng-hui, who passed away recently. Has Taiwan followed the path of democratization smoothly since then? The first summit meeting between China and Taiwan was held under former President Ma Ying-jeou before President Tsai Ing-wen. There, former President Ma Ying-jeou and Xi Jinping held a meeting, reaffirming the 92 joint formula and returning to the one-China principle. That was in 2015.
Although Taiwan is a young democratic country, it is on the verge of strong growth. If the Democratic Progressive Party loses in the 2024 presidential election, Taiwan, one of the few democratic countries in Asia, may never smile again. Xi Jinping will try to intervene in Taiwan's presidential election in every possible way.
Kyoto Tachibana High School showed that there are many things Japan can do. Our goal is to show young Taiwanese through a variety of content that on the path to democracy there is a world where free people can realize their dreams. Taiwan considers Japan to be its democratic predecessor. The Japanese media, which should be primarily responsible for this, seems to be controlled by China.
Shocking dignified high school student
What the young people of Taiwan saw was a marching band, which is just a part of a high school club activity, displaying overwhelming musical ability, and proudly performing at a ceremony attended by the president of another country. Taiwanese people seemed surprised by this. The question is whether it will be a liberal democracy where talent flourishes freely or a socialism that is embraced by Xi Jinping's plump belly.
Are you considering lowering the voting age?
The lowering of the voting age in Taiwan to １８ years old in March ２０２２ also has a lot to do with this. Taiwanese high school students of the same generation as the Orange Devil will head to the polls in ２０２４. The fact that it has become so popular means President Tsai Ing-wen's production was a great success . President Tsai Ing-wen is much smarter than Xi Jinping. By the way, if you paste a video related to the "Orange Devil" in Taiwan on Facebook, it will be deleted as a violation of the community rules. I don't know much about the relationship between the Chinese Communist Party and Facebook, but it seems certain that it's not a good fit.
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One country, two systems The concept of "one China" is not a matter of independence, but of mainland China's sovereignty.Chiang Kai-shek insisted that the Republic of China was a legitimate government throughout China and refused to persuade Japan and the U.S. to stay at the United Nations by changing their views on China.This will be the beginning of everything.
President Lee Teng-hui first came up with the concept of "special relations between countries" in 1999.During the Chen Shui-bian period, he expressed the two countries were different countries across the Taiwan Strait.During the Ma Ying-jeou era, he said he would maintain the 92 consensus in 1992 (the agreement to recognize a Chinese concept but to recognize each other's difference about interpretations).From here we return to one China.
President Tsai said she did not recognize the 92 agreement. If we do not recognize each other's difference , we will go back to not only rejecting one country, two systems, but also each other's difference, which will be used by China to deny Taiwan sovereignty.
Looking at Taiwan's constitution, it is disturbing.The preamble to the Constitution reads, "Based on the teachings of Dr. Sun Zhongshan, who founded the Republic of China."As can be said in the Korean Constitution, the Constitution is the starting point of domestic law and should not be cited.
I don't know what path Chae will take in the future, but we have to overturn almost all of the previous presidents' interpretations, including constitutional revision.It's a very difficult task, but I want you to accomplish it.
Democracy in Taiwan
At the first-ever Sino-Taiwan summit in November 2015, President Ma Ying-jeou and Xi Jinping confirmed that mainland China and Taiwan belong to China and maintain the "one China" principle and the "ninety-two common knowledge."The birth of President Tsai Ying was in May 2016, so it happened only half a year ago.
President Lee Teng-hui's "two countries" (China and Taiwan are different countries) were easily overturned here, returning to the position of one country, two systems, and one China.With the birth of President Tsai Ying-cheng and the current trend of leaving China, Taiwan's independence theory is still in its infancy.The dramatic reversal of Tsai's re-election in 2020 is that the Kuomintang candidate had a higher approval rating until just before.
Taiwan's first direct presidential election was in 1996.It's been about 25 years.
Biden said, "China should have a good conversation with Taiwan's democratically elected leader.I said.What does this mean?In Taiwan's presidential election in 2024, the Democratic Progressive Party and the Kuomintang received 28.3 percent and 21.9 percent respectively.Historically, Taiwan has been leaning toward China or moving toward independence, but this pendulum-like problem will continue as long as it holds elections as a democratic country.Only the annexation of China or the declaration of independence can end the problem.The Biden administration is in favor of "one China policy."
China's "one China principle " and the United States' "one China policy " are different.China regards Taiwan as part of China's "one China principle," the U.S. "one China policy" means recognizing China's representative government as the People's Republic of China, not Taiwan as part of China.It is only acknowledged that China is making such a claim.At first glance, East Asia's policies seem to follow Trump's, but they are fundamentally different.It also implicitly conveys that if the pro-China faction wins again in Taiwan, the U.S. will not interfere.
If Taiwan does not specify independence, it will be asked whether it will reach China or independence every election, and that will be an opportunity for China to take advantage of it.
It is said that Japan occupaied the Korean Peninsula as an important location.Which country is not an important place?
If Japan claims that the Korean Peninsula was independent due to the Quins-Japanese War, Japan may have gained independence from the Korean Peninsula, but the Korean people objected that it was only a key location.It's amazing to hear this all the time.I think every country is an important point of some country, but is it different?Supporting independence as an important point is also taking place in the world today.What are the problems in Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Myanmar?
Even if there is a common denominator of democracy, the military elements are indivisible.On the contrary, if there are no military factors, will other countries strengthen their armed forces?During the Great East Asian War, Japan considered all Asian countries important and expelled white countries for Asian independence.Asian countries are weak, but they want to unite and escape white rule.Are you saying you've used all of this?
If China suddenly invades Taiwan, the United States may send U.S. troops to defend Taiwan.Then there will be war.What would happen if the U.S. had killed its own people and defended Taiwan, but Taiwan's internal forces had betrayed Tsai Ing-wen's forces and approached China?The United States may abandon Taiwan or rule it.President Tsai understands the interests of each country and tries to stick to the ideology of democracy, regardless of whether it is an important place or not.
Korea, which is independent but has a backward democratic ideology, is in stark contrast to Taiwan, which is trying to protect democracy and become independent.
Chinese Spring Festival delega Xi Jinping did not hide his ambition even though he had no track record, and his OBOR, which he pushed for, ended in failure and is now trying to be contained by other countries.Why is it that the Constitution has been revised to become president for life and there are no signs of his downfall?Xi Jinping criticized Hu Jintao, who tried to settle the Senkaku Islands peacefully with Japan, and led the anti-Japanese riot.As the riots overheated and the people were about to attack the regime, Hu Jintao hurriedly suppressed them.This is similar to Mao's strategy of going to Chiang Kai-shek.
Zhou Yongkang, China's former political enemy, was excluded in the name of eradicating corruption.Dongguan, known as the capital of China's sex, colluded with the police and led by Zhou Yongkang.In China, this is a natural collusion, but for this reason it was dragged down and excluded.In this way, Hu Jintao's faction was buried one after another.Even now, Xi's loud cry is to eradicate corruption.It's good to hear what Xi says, but that's what Xi Jinping is doing.The current head of the public security department is known to be responsible for almost all corruption and corruption.
In China, children with high athletic ability will be transferred to places where they will receive gifted education as athletes of the future national sports team.The same is true of the Communist Party.It is an honor to be selected as a class committee member at a Chinese school.It is the first major gateway to becoming a member of the Communist Party of the future.
The only thing the Chinese put before the state is their clan.If a good child is born, the clan will support him, and if the child becomes a member of the Communist Party, the clan will be rewarded.If you lose your position in the pursuit of corruption, there will be many sects behind you.Xi Jinping, who is advocating eradication of corruption, is slowly closing his eyes and using it to control people's minds.
It is said that the only scenario for Xi's downfall is assassination.Xi Jinping seems to be very wary of this.This is a group photo of the Spring Festival party held on February 20, 2021.Everyone is applauding the camera all at once, but several people are facing the other way around.This is the Great Hall of the People where I'm sure you only have your firiends isn't it?
Mr. Xi Jinping believes that Taiwan's independence is the trigger for his invasion of Taiwan - The timing of Taiwan's independence and the influence of elections in each country.
The term of office of the Chinese president is five years. In 2018, China's National People's Congress lifted the 10-year limit for two terms, making it possible for candidates to be re-elected as many times as they like. Xi Jinping is currently in his second term, and his term ends in 2023. Regarding the timing, if any, of China's invasion of Taiwan, in January 2021, the Chinese Minister of Defense made in-depth statements that Taiwan's independence would mean war. At the recent U.S.-China summit, Xi Jinping said, ``If Taiwan's independence forces cross the line, we will take decisive measures.''
In other words, the timing is Taiwan's independence. So, regardless of what kind of action or state one considers independence, Taiwan satisfies all the substantive requirements for becoming a state under international law. All that remains is to draft a declaration of independence and declare it to the international community as an independent country. The question is at what timing it will be done.
Regarding this, President Tsai Ing-wen has stated that Taiwan is "already independent," indicating that she has no intention of drafting a declaration of independence. Taiwan's 2024 presidential election will be held the year after Xi Jinping begins his third term. The Democratic Progressive Party candidates advocate Taiwan's independence, which means that Taiwan is not yet independent, which is a very different nuance from President Tsai Ing-wen's ``already independent'' statement.
If the Democratic Progressive Party candidate becomes Taiwan's president in 2024, there is a high possibility that he will draft a declaration of independence during his term. Xi Jinping, aiming for a third term, will support the Kuomintang, the opposition force to Taiwan's ruling party, and seek to become Taiwan's president. Obsessed with elections. The Nationalist Party is a pro-China party. 2024 is also the year of the US presidential election. Based on President Tsai Ing-wen's idea that the country is "already independent," it is unlikely that a declaration of independence will be drafted under the Tsai Ing-wen administration or the Biden administration.
Taiwan's presidential election and the US presidential election will begin in 2024, and Xi Jinping's third term will begin in 2023. It will be interesting to see if there is any movement after this time.
Since the term of office of Taiwan's president is four years, the term of office of the next president will expire in 2028, which will be Xi Jinping's fourth term. Xi Jinping will need to see results by at least 2027 to be re-elected to a fourth term. This timing is the 6th year that Commander Davidson said that war would occur within 6 years. If the US Republican Party wins in 2024, the situation will change dramatically.
The timing of Taiwan's declaration of independence may have a great deal to do with the elections in the three countries.
