China's biggest weakness is its vast territory - We are dispersed - What is the biggest advantage of QUAD?
2022-09-02
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Advantages of the Japan-Soviet Non-Aggression Treaty
The Japan-Soviet non-aggression pact during World War II had benefits for both sides. The Soviet Union's weakness was its vast territory. If the Japanese army invaded from the east while fighting the Nazis in the west, the Soviet army would have no choice but to disperse and would have no choice. After the Nazis surrendered on May ７, the Soviet Union entered the war against Japan.
China continues to acquire underdeveloped countries
The image above shows China's archipelago strategy and its maritime route to Pakistan, known as the String of Pearls. Currently, the Spratly Islands are under control, Sri Lanka's Hampantota port has been leased to China for ９９ years, and, strangely enough, a coup d'etat occurred in Myanmar and China has secured access to the Bay of Bengal by land. The Solomon Islands government has been taken over and has signed a security agreement with China, refusing to accept foreign naval vessels. It's just a stone's throw from Australia.
Japan at its limits along the first island chain
Japan is currently debating the defense of its first island chain. As long as Japan and Taiwan are protected, that's fine. That may be the correct answer in terms of national defense, but if China considers it difficult to capture the first island chain, it will simply put it off until later and steadily advance its maritime strategy to the west. The Chinese Communist Party gains power each time it acquires concessions, and it is unable to stop the relative increase in threats to Japan's national defense.
Make the most of the large land area
In other words, China is making the most of its vast territory and expanding its reach into surrounding areas. Will the countries threatened by China defend themselves with their own strength? In other words, the enemy is a mass of １４ billion people, and we are unaware that they are scattered.
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China's expansion policy is a historical necessity - Japan is the only neighboring country that did not listen.
Japan is probably the only East Asian country that has been not under Chinese control.Prince Shotoku's personal letter, "The Emperor of the rising Sun send a letter to you who is Emperor of the sun set ". declared that Japan was not a subordinate country to China.The Huns, Sun Fei, Khitan, Yeojin, Manchuria, and Mongolia were a threat to the Han nationality, and the era of the 16th Kingdom of the Five Kingdoms was a time when many ethnic groups owned the country.The Sunbae people established the Sui and Tang dynasties, the Nujin and the Manchurians established the Qing dynasties during the King Jin dynasties.
Originally, China was conscious of the northern and western continents.In order to guard against foreign invasion, the capital was relocated from Xi'an to Beijing and the Great Wall was built.The Korean Peninsula has not shown its willingness to invade China.Although it was a subordinate country, it maintained its ethnic area as a country.Unlike nomads in the northern part of the peninsula, they settled down.Due to the small area of flat land and the lack of agricultural technology, the land is poor and the number of slaves is large.When the nomadic people eat up, they just move to the next place.At the opening ceremony of the Beijing Olympics, the video of foreigners praising China was the essence of China, and as a result of conquest, China now exists.
The identity of China itself in history was to conquest Asia.
Mongolia, which unified the northern peoples in the past, invaded China and established a Yuan dynasties.This is the time when China's expansionary policy is the most important.To the north, the Duchy of Novgorod and other major Russian states were under control, and to the west, Poland was attacked three times.As a result, Poland became a ruined country, although it originally withdrew its troops.During this period, the Goryeo dynasties collapsed on the Korean Peninsula and returned to their original rule.
Aggression to Japan was carried out as part of Yuan's expansionary policy.As a result, the Yuan army was destroyed and Japan maintained its independence after two attacks.Historically, China has a strong belief that Asian countries are under Chinese rule.This is because China was unified by conquering Asia.Only Japan is different.China has never beaten Japan in history.
Japan is a rare country that repelled this during China's expansion and defended its independence against Western colonialism.
The biggest weakness is that the country is large
The important point about QUAD, which was proposed by former Prime Minister Abe, is that it draws India in. If China and India clash in Kashmir, communist forces will disperse to the west. Military power is nothing more than a total number, and some people compare numbers and say things like that, but in this case it is meaningless. Could troops in Sichuan province participate in the invasion of Taiwan? China's biggest weakness is its vast territory.
Threat to China is a deterrent
China's maritime expansion is intended to be a game changer for the world. Simply defending the first island chain in order to counter this would be a completely different level of thinking. The theory of dividing China will only be effective on a scale that confronts China's global expansion. For China, the absolute threat of ``If you don't act, I'll surround you and tear you apart'' is itself a deterrent.
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Will Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Foreign Minister Lavrov enter a new era by promising cooperation in various fields?
Lavrov, who is visiting China on the 30th, held talks with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi.Foreign Minister Wang Yi said, "The will of both sides to develop bilateral relations will become stronger and the belief to promote cooperation in various fields will become stronger."Foreign Minister Lavrov responded by saying, "We will continue to develop our relations with China steadily."
In addition, Chinese state media wrote that we have no restrictions on cooperation between China and Russia on Twitter,there are no restrictions on peace, security and opposition to hegemony.
During the invasion of Ukraine, it was confirmed that China was aiming to develop relations with Russia.It can be interpreted as , which includes military field, among the cooperation in various fields that Wang Yi said.If any security cooperation is established between Russia and China, China's invasion of Taiwan will become a reality.In this case, the United States, like Ukraine, is likely not to defend Taiwan.At least the current Biden administration is likely to abandon Taiwan easily if China and Russia become a barrier.
Does this mean that China has taken the lead in building relations with Russia while there is no clue to improving relations with the United States?In the first place, the U.S.-China relationship began with the aim of bringing China to the U.S. camp in Asia and putting pressure on the Soviet Union during the Cold War.President Nixon's surprise visit to China will be followed by normalization of diplomatic relations between Japan and China.The United Nations recognized the People's Republic of China as China's representative government, and the Republic of China (Taiwan) withdrew from the United Nations.If China were to join the Russian camp this time, it would be a self-evident result that the opposite effect, or the movement to pressure the liberal camp, would intensify.Nevertheless, it is hard to imagine that the United States and other liberal countries will bring China back by improving relations with China.China may not have been the card to deal with.
Four basic documents and four agreements between Japan and China - The difference between Japan - China diplomacy and Japan - Korea diplomacy is that Japan and Korea do not have accumulated diplomat
Four agreements between Japan and China signed with former Prime Minister Abe
Four basic documents during Japan and China
History of diplomacy since the restoration of diplomatic relations
The key to diplomacy amid difficult Japan-China relations
There are no accumulated assets in Japan-Korea relations
In response to the news of Prime Minister Abe's death, a Chinese spokesperson said that he had made a great contribution to the development of Japan-China relations. In 2012, the issue of the Senkaku Islands came to light and anti-Japanese demonstrations broke out, and Prime Minister Abe held a Japan-China summit meeting in APAC and reached an agreement on four points.
Four agreements between Japan and ChinaBoth sides will abide by the principles and spirit of the four basic documents between Japan and China, and They confirmed that they would continue to develop a mutually beneficial strategic relationship.
Both sides reached some consensus on the need to face history squarely, follow the spirit of looking toward the future, and overcome the political difficulties affecting bilateral relations.
Both sides recognize that they have different views on the recent tense situation in the waters of the East China Sea, including the Senkaku Islands, and through dialogue and consultation, prevent the situation from deteriorating and establish a crisis management mechanism. There was a consensus on the need to avoid unforeseen situations.
Both sides agreed to gradually resume political, diplomatic, and security dialogue by utilizing various multilateral and bilateral channels, and to strive to build a relationship of mutual political trust.
These are the four agreements that China often refers to. The four basic documents in item 1 are:
Four basic documents between Japan and China1972 Japan-China Joint Declaration1978 Japan-China Treaty of Peace and Friendship 1998 Japan-China Joint Declaration on Building a Partnership of Friendship and Cooperation for Peace and Development 2008 Japan-China Joint Statement on the Comprehensive Promotion of “Mutually Beneficial Relations”
means.
The first of the four agreements promised that both sides would abide by the treaties and agreements they had signed so far. This also means that Japan-China relations are based on four documents that Chinese spokesmen frequently comment on. Although China is a country with many problems internationally, it is said that China is principled, and this is where the diplomatic axis between Japan and China lies.
Japan-China relations and Japan-Korea relations have completely different positions and histories. However, the biggest difference is that since South Korea has scrapped all previous agreements, there are no diplomatic assets that Japan and South Korea have accumulated politically and diplomatically.
Both China and South Korea have recently become Asian countries that neither of them want to associate with, but their diplomatic relations have completely different histories.
Will Xi Jinping's reform and opening-up policy continue to be revised in his third term? - There is no change in his ambition to unify Taiwan.
Xi Jinping's third term begins
Will the reform and opening-up policy continue to be revised?
Free industrial investment is essential for industrial growth
What is necessary to continue economic growth
No change in ambition to annex Taiwan
With the end of the Communist Party Congress and the start of Xi Jinping's third term, various reports have been made. Taken as a whole, it seems that the direction of revision of the reform and opening-up policy since Deng Xiaoping has been indicated. The results of Xi Jinping's economic policies are unclear in every sense, but it is clear that China's economy has grown due to the reform and opening-up path initiated by Deng Xiaoping, the partial introduction of market economic theory, and U.S.-China relations. Although Xi Jinping does not explicitly criticize these, what he is doing appears to be aiming for a return to the old style of Chinese socialism.
Although this is a country where individuals cannot own real estate, laws that allow individuals to buy and sell rented real estate are restricting growing real estate companies and forcing them into bankruptcy, and reining in the heads of growing companies like Alibaba. Does Xi Jinping think that these economic elements are a threat to China's socialist forces that were born on the path of reform and opening up? I have to say that his sense of being a threat is correct. This is because a liberal economy will destroy the socialist system.
In order for the economy to continue to grow, we must ensure as much freedom as possible. There are limits to simply investing in certain industries that the country has chosen as part of its national policy. A process in which these industrial investments are opened up to the private sector, private banks are free to make industrial investments, and private companies are free to commercialize services that have never existed before is an essential condition.
Various freedoms are essential for this, including freedom of speech, freedom of thought and belief, and academic freedom. This creates new social norms and new ways of living, which in turn leads to the creation of new products and services. Plants have a chance to flourish when they grow freely as intended.
Critics say that Xi Jinping has chosen stability over growth. What is worrisome, however, is that there has been no change to the ambition to unify Taiwan. Such restorationists are likely to advocate nationalism and wage wars of aggression. You can imagine this by looking at the current President Putin.
China's strategy for archipelago warfare.upside - down map reveals one's ambition to enter the Pacific Ocean
This is a map of the archipelago line from China.From China's point of view, the First Archipelago Line is designed to contain China in the ocean.The presence of American troops in Okinawa is also an important point.China cannot break through the line without the understanding of other countries, and on the contrary, it is said that U.S. nuclear submarines can easily cross the first archipelago line into Chinese territorial waters.
Now China is trying to make all the inside of the First Archipelago Line belong to China.That's Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, and the Nansha Islands .The second archipelago line runs all the way to Guam.In recent years, many Chinese ships have been seen in Japan's Ogasawara Islands.The Ogasawara Islands are located almost on the second archipelago line from the Japanese archipelago to Guam.
The Third Archipelago Line leads to Hawaii .The U.S. military has already sealed China close to China, but China aims to acquire Taiwan and the Senkaku Islands, reach the second and third islands, and eventually acquire Hawaii.If China takes over Hawaii, it will be able to attack the U.S. mainland based there.
If Taiwan is recognized by the state and Japan and Taiwan are included in the alliance, the South China Sea will be covered from the north, while China will not be able to enter the Pacific Ocean.In other words, the QUAD and Taiwan policies advocated by former Prime Minister Abe are correct .In QUAD, it would be even stronger if the Philippines, Malaysia, and Vietnam could be introduced from Australia and India across the sea.Collaboration between Japan, the United States and Taiwan will also be able to function as part of this.
Don't let China go to the Pacific Ocean.Japan is in danger of Chinese ships and submarines from all directions.
What do the People's Liberation Army think of U.S. aircraft carriers and landing attack ships?
Since the inauguration of the Biden administration, the U.S. has not only put pressure on China to restrict support for Chinese companies, but has also frequently dispatched military aircraft and warships to China to provoke them.
According to the Global Times, the U.S. has deployed the aircraft carrier Carl Vinson, the landing attack ship Esax, and the U.S. landing attack ship U.S.aircraft carriers Lincoln and Reagan.The Ohio-class strategic nuclear submarine Nevada also made an unusual appearance at a U.S. naval base in Guam.
It is unusual for the U.S. to deploy so much military force around China, giving the impression of dignity.Professor Wei Jung-woo of the Center for American Research at Fudan University said in an interview, "The U.S. is sending strategic nuclear submarines and aircraft carrier warships to the Indo-Pacific region to demonstrate its "power" and exercise military deterrence."
The U.S. is not the only military power in the world, but the U.S. is wrong in targeting China.Defense Ministry spokesman Oh Gyeom explained at a regular briefing on January 27 that the PLA's military training in 2022, emphasizing the need to strengthen military training and strengthen enemy suppression training and maintain full-time standby.We will accelerate the integration of training and practice so that we can fight at any time."
The behind-the-scenes stories of "the front line of military struggle" and "fight the enemy and train " are clear.The Global Times quoted an analyst as saying, "There have been experts so far."Despite the fact that the PLA took advantage of the opportunity to train against foreign troops, many netizens still regard it as "respectful."However, it has been confirmed that the Liberation Army is "using foreign troops to train."The U.S. did not expect such provocations around China to be the best training partner for the Liberation Army.This is to make up for the lack of combat experience.The U.S. is really shooting itself in the leg.
It seems that the U.S. military is a practical training partner for the People's Liberation Army's lack of practical experience.I don't understand what it means.
