Ukraine crisis as seen from Cuban crisis. Cuba protected but Ukraine isolated.
2022-03-20
Category:Ukraine
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Former Soviet Union deploys nuclear weapons in Cuba
After Castro's successful Cuban Revolution in 1959, Cuba decided to pursue a socialist path and joined the socialist camp, and American capital was expelled.In 1961, President Eisenhauer broke off diplomatic relations with Cuba.Kennedy, the next president, failed in his attempt to overthrow Castro's revolutionary government by organizing Cubans who had defected to the United States to invade Cuba.In response, Castro stepped up his anti-U.S. stance and approached the Soviet Union, while Khrushchev deployed nuclear missiles in Cuba to gain an advantage over the U.S. by deploying nuclear weapons.
A world that has taken a step closer to nuclear war
In October 1962, a U.S. Air Force reconnaissance plane discovered that a Soviet missile base was under construction.The range covered the entire United States and made it easier to attack the U.S. mainland with nuclear weapons.In a televised address on TV, President Kennedy declared that he would block the waters and airspace around Cuba to prevent the Soviet Union from bringing in weapons and ammunition and supplies used to make nuclear weapons.The Soviet Union was already in the process of sending ships loaded with goods and weapons to Cuba.Breaking through the U.S. blockade of the sea would have resulted in direct clashes, and the nuclear war crisis was imminent.The two leaders negotiated behind the scenes, and Khrushchev told Kennedy that the U.S. would remove its missile base in exchange for not invading Cuba. The agreement was reached on Oct. 27 to avoid a nuclear war crisis.
similarities and differences
What is the difference between the Ukraine crisis and the Cuban crisis?The U.S. and Russia are in the opposite position.Castro approached the Soviet Union with the aim of building a socialist country and Zelensky approached NATO as a democratic country.This is also the opposite.And the same is true of the crisis, but why?The biggest difference was that Kennedy and Khrushchev had a conversation to avoid war and were avoided at the last minute.The United States has taken the position that it is not the party concerned this time.
POINT The Cuban crisis was averted by dialogue between the United States and Russia.The U.S. has no intention of negotiating the Ukraine issue, only Ukraine was left behind
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International Hackers Hacked Russian Broadcasting - They broad casted the video of Ukraine Invasion. On March 7, Anonymous, an international hacking group, hacked Russian state-run television and video broadcasting sites to broadcast images of Ukraine's invasion.On February 25, the group publicly declared war on Russia in the event of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and the hacker group said it was considering Vladimir Putin's regime.Russian streaming services Wink, Ivi, and TV stations include Russia 24, Channel 1, and Moscow 24.The hacking group said, "One way to stop Putin from running wild is to arouse the public's awareness which is under intelligence control."
Ukrainian sniper sniper at Russian general... Is Mr. Zelenski still in Kiev?
The British Independent quoted a military source as saying on August 3 (local time) that Andrei Sukhovetsky (47), commander of the 7th Airborne Division and deputy commander of the 41st Allied Forces, was shot dead by Ukrainian snipers.There are rumors on the Internet that Sukhovetsky was speaking to the invading army at the time of his death, but the exact place and time of his death are unknown.It is highly likely to shock the Russian military and Moscow leaders in terms of being the highest-ranking person killed in the war.
It seems that like as in Golgo 13 a sniper killed an important person .Ukrainian snipers killed Sukhovetsky at a rally surrounded by Russian troops.British media reports that 400 assassins are already in Kiev via Belarus and ready to kill Zelensky.The assassination team said they knew where Zelensky was and were awaiting instructions from the authorities.Then why hasn't the instruction been given yet, or under what circumstances will the instruction given?
When former Defense Minister Morimoto appeared on TV, he said, "The Russian army would not capture Kiev at once."In other words, it is said that they surrounded and blocked Kiev and the food supply will be cut off weapons and ammunition, and make Kiev starve to death.Morimoto says Russia's purpose is to capture Zelensky and bring him to trial in Russia.In other words, the purpose is not to kill, but to capture alive.Russian army wait for Mr. Zelensky to surrender in exchange for saving the needy citizens of Kiev.
The appeal in Russia is a suspicion of Ukraine's genocide in the Donbas region.Russia claims that Zelensky ordered the killing of pro-Russian forces in Donbas to justify its invasion of Ukraine.
If Russia secures Mr. Zelensky, a trial may be held by all means, including forcing a confession.
A clever Russian strategy How many scenarios does Putin have for Ukraine?
Putin's purpose is, as he said, to the east, NATO's non-expansion.If you think about the purpose of the Russian troops stationed near the Ukrainian border, how many scenarios are there?How many scenarios did the Biden administration attempt to respond to?
The first possibility is that if Ukraine joins NATO, it will capture Kiev, Ukraine's capital.In response, NATO countries in Europe said they would not send troops to Ukraine, and Biden's administration said they would not send troops to Ukraine.Biden's tone is "all-out war," so he would not send troops.That is, Biden tried to put off the issue by saying Ukraine would not join NATO in the near future.
From Russia's point of view, this is probably an ambiguous solution.However, if NATO forces do not enter Ukraine in the near future, Russia's immediate reason for its attack on Ukraine will be weakened, while the United States will continue to shout that Russia will attack and foreign companies withdrawed from Ukraine.Economic sanctions such as withdrawal at the civilian level have already begun.Russia claims to have withdrawn some of its troops, but the United States claims Russia is increasing its forces.Is this Biden's strategy?
Putin gets only economic blow.Therefore, the second scenario was to recognize the independence of the People's Republic of Lugansk and the People's Republic of Donetsk. We decided to bring back results.Russia is strongly opposed to Ukraine's NATO membership and is negotiating with Europe and U.S, which seemed different from case of Crimea aimed at some regions.Western countries are also responding to NATO versus Russia's all-out war.The theme is to avoid all-out war.
Putin approved the independence of pro-Russian forces after the next U.S.-Russia summit was decided and before the talks.The timing was exquisite.As a result, Putin obtained two cards before the talks.Russian troops will station in Lugansk and Donetsk to pressure the West and Ukraine.Moreover, Russia would try to prevent Ukraine from entering NATO.Since the eastern half of Ukraine is inhabited by many Russians, this method can be used in the future.Did Biden get the card?I think it's the same as the beginning.
President Putin seems to have done better this time.He succeeded in achieving results, and NATO even declared that it would not enter Ukraine.
70 fighter jets to Ukraine - Bulgaria, Poland and Slovakia.
The Ukrainian Air Force announced yesterday that it will receive 70 fighter jets and attack planes from Bulgaria, Poland and Slovakia.It will receive 16 MiG-29s and 14 Su-25s from Bulgaria, 28 MiG-29s from Poland, and 12 MiG-29s from Slovakia.If you look at the number of aircraft, it is highly likely that almost all of the fighter jets of the three countries that provide them.Poland then granted permission to use fighter jets for operational purposes.It is unclear whether this would be participating in a war, or just a permission to use fighter jets and airports, but is it true that most of the air forces of the three countries are available?
The MiG-29 was developed by the Russian MiG Design Agency and will be the main fighter in the Russian Air Force with more than 300 aircraft.The MiG-29 is simple and small for local use in the frontline air force, and the Su-27 for long-range use in the air defense force is complex and large.Of course, the Su-27 is superior in armament and fuel loading, especially the MiG-29's low fuel loading.However, in terms of war with neighboring countries, the disadvantages of fuel shortages are relatively small.
The U.S. and European countries have been supplying weapons, including ammunition, anti-tank guns, and portable anti-aircraft missiles, but this time they are said to be very expensive and provide weapons to the air force.
The provision of fighter jets this time is shocking, but even more shocking is the number.Poland's permission to use the airport is close to participating in the air force.
Former Defense Minister Onodera implicitly criticized the Ukraine issue.Japan and Taiwan will be the same as Ukraine. Former Defense Minister Onodera appeared on Sunday's report on the Ukraine incident and expressed his opinion.
Main remarks by Onodera
The Trump era did not exclude military resources.Biden ruled it out.Putin believes that the United States is just a mouthful.
The same thing happened in Afghanistan.It also happened in Ukraine.It could also happen in Taiwan.
Zelensky not only wants NATO to protect him, but also to protect his country.This will win the support of other countries.This is true of Japan, too.
I don't think we can do much about economic sanctions because we couldn't do anything during the Crimean Peninsula.
Taiwan has no military alliance with the United States.Looking at the present situation in the United States, Taiwan will eventually be abandoned.There is a trend in Taiwan to get along well with China.
The Ukraine issue is similar to the Taiwan issue, and Taiwan has not even declared independence.Neither the U.S. nor Japan has even approved it.In this relationship, we cannot help but be skeptical about what kind of legal framework the United States will use to defend Taiwan.In the U.S. Taiwan Relations Act, except for the provision of weapons to defend Taiwan, only the ambiguous phrase "appropriate action" is written.
Taiwan belongs to China internationally.The United Nations also defines the People's Republic of China as China's representative government./?num=187.Taiwan's independence requires the international community to declare Taiwan a state of independence, and the countries concerned recognize it.We can form an alliance for the first time after national recognition.If China attacks before that, which country will help Taiwan?
Trump would not have ruled out military options in Ukraine and would have approved Taiwan's independence.President Putin easily recognized the independence of pro-Russian forces.