President Zelensky Addresses U.S. Congress, Says America Will Provide Economic Aid and Drone.
2022-03-18
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America offers strategic drones
President Zelensky attended and delivered a speech to the U.S. Congress remotely.It called for military assistance from the United States, and if it cannot send troops, it called for the provision of weapons and increased economic sanctions.Biden announced $８００ million in additional military assistance and said he would provide １００ strategic drones, although he could not provide fighter jets.The U.S. has UAVs such as switch blades and LMAMS.Ukraine has asked NATO to set up a no-fly zone, but both NATO and the U.S. military have denied it.This is because setting up a no-fly airspace means NATO fighter jets and surface-to-air missiles will shoot down Russian fighter jets.When Poland asked to send Mig-２９ to Ukraine via the United States, the United States refused, saying it would be considered a participation in the war.It seems to be a delicate judgment that a strategic drone is OK, although it does not set up a no-fly airspace and does not provide fighter jets.
Strategic drones in Russia
Russian military company Karashnikov Conzeln is unveiling its unmanned KUB military attack drone at a military exhibition in Moscow in August ２０２１.Attack drones such as Turkish-made attack drone Kargu-２ may have tracked soldiers and carried out attacks during fighting in Libya in March ２０２０, a panel of experts from the UN Security Council released a report.
A wandering attack plane called Kamikaze
The wandering attack drone is called Kamikaze Drone, and although it is not clear why it is compared to the Japanese kamikaze, it has become an international common name.In addition to unmanned aircraft that fly remotely, some fly autonomously with AI to select enemies and launch suicide attacks.The United States is said to have used drones in actual combat in Afghanistan, but this time １００ planes will be publicly provided to Ukraine.The performance of Russian-made drones and American-made drones may be conveyed.
POINT It was said that the development of strategic drones in the United States was a little behind.I don't know the type of drone that will be given this time, but I expect its performance.
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Putin and Macron hold telephone talks - Armistice negotiations make no progress - Helson Province falls.
In a telephone conversation with French President Jacques Macron on August 3, Putin said, "The most important thing is Ukraine's demilitarization and neutrality, so that there is no threat to Russia."
The governor of the southern Ukrainian state of Helson, adjacent to Crimea, announced on August 3 that the state government building was completely occupied due to the control of the Zapolizia nuclear power plant.It is the first time that a Russian invasion has captured a major Ukrainian city.The second truce between Ukraine and Russia was held on the same day, but no progress was made in the negotiations, and the two countries agreed to set up a "humanitarian corridor" to evacuate civilians and decided to hold the second round.
Putin told President Macron that it would not change its demands for demilitarization and neutrality in negotiations, saying that the purpose of the military operation could be achieved in any case.Russia is currently operating in various regions, and it is reported that the advance to Kiev is 25 kilometers behind schedule, but some say that the armistice negotiations are simply buying Russian time.
Countries are putting pressure on Russia through economic sanctions and UN resolutions, but Putin's will is as shown on August 3.He's going to get the Black Sea, and will Odessa be his next goal?
Putin reiterated his determination to carry out the operation and is determined to continue the battle.More than one million refugees are reportedly fleeing Ukraine.
The fifth Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiation was held in Turkey and ended - Is there a possibility of multilateral negotiations in the future?
A ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia was held in Istanbul, Turkey on the 29th."We have decided to drastically reduce military operations around Kiev and in Chernihu in the north to achieve the goal of signing the treaty by enhancing mutual trust and setting the necessary conditions for the next round of negotiations," NHK reported.Ukraine said it would accept neutrality by establishing a new security framework.Turkey's Foreign Minister, Chausch 外相or, said, "We have reached agreement on several items and have made the most meaningful progress so far."
According to Russian reports, the reduction of military operations means a halt to fighting between Kiev and Chernihu.Chernihu is a city just south of the border between Russia, Belarus and Ukraine, where it passes to capture Kiev from Russia and Belarus.But Russian journalist Yuri Vasiliev has said the suspension of the fighting in Chernihu does not mean a reduction in Russian military activity.In other words, the troops reduced in the region will be distributed to other regions.
"The possibility of a meeting of heads of state to sign the treaty will be discussed," said Vladimir Medinsky, head of the Russian delegation.This is not an easy problem."Especially to make it a multilateral conference with the participation of countries that guarantee peace and security in Ukraine."
In any case, Ukraine seems to be seeking neutrality on the premise of building new European security.This would require security agreements, including NATO members, rather than negotiations between Ukraine and Russia alone.Attention is focusing on whether NATO will change its position as a third party to provide weapons.
Is Russia sending 1,000 mercenaries to Ukraine?Are the troops attacking Kiev really regular?
There are many reports that Ukrainian troops are fighting well to prevent Russian aggression, but Russian soldiers captured by Ukrainian soldiers are questionable."I came all the way here without knowing where I was going," "I participated in the battle without any training."Surprisingly, soldiers who make video calls with their mother in Russia and cry, "I want to go back to Russia soon."It is clear that they are conscripts and trainees, but what percentage of them participate?
The question from the beginning is whether the Russian camp attacking Kiev is really a regular army.It seems this Russian soldiers are not professional combat groups.So where is the regular army?Will it be a second wave?
CNN reported that Russia is expected to send up to 1,000 mercenaries to Ukraine in the next few days or weeks.A high-ranking Western intelligence official said, "The Russian government warned that it could "subdue multiple cities by bombing," adding, "As the war intensifies, many civilians will be killed."Where will Russian professional soldiers engage in operations and how will 1,000 mercenaries be deployed in the future?
The procession to Kiev seems to be aimed at concentrating Ukrainian soldiers on the defense of the capital.Russia, on the other hand, is continuously suppressing Zapoliza and Helson in the region from Donbas to Crimea.Are they going to take the time to attacking Kiev and buy time, while you subdue other key points?
Russia seems to be invading Ukraine for several purposes.What will be done before the fall of the capital and what will the next troops to be deployed in the future?
Ukrainian military shelling of Russian military clergy ? just a false bombing, or is the battle moving into the next phase?
The Russian Orthodox Church said on the 25th that a Russian military cleric was killed in a rocket attack from the Ukrainian side near the Ukrainian border in the southwest.
Will the war enter the next phase, or is this just a false bombing, or is it an intelligence war by Russia?Ukraine is currently defending itself.This is a defense against Russian aggression.When the Ukrainian attack is directed across the border at Russia, the situation enters the next phase.A defensive battle is a war of attrition that fights against an enemy who has invaded the country while suffering domestic damage.The fact that Japan does not allow anything other than self-defense is assumed to be such a battle.Although their military facilities, towns and infrastructure are destroyed, the enemy territory remains intact, so the fighting naturally becomes inferior.If the U.N. attacks Russia this time, it will be a phase of a clear all-out war.
After Zelensky's speech to the U.S. House of Representatives, Biden announced that he would provide Ukraine with 100 attack drones.If attack drones and missile attacks are carried out on Russia in the future, Russian civilians will be killed in large numbers.And there will be many changes in public opinion in Russia.It is worrisome how public opinion in Russia will change when its own citizens begin to suffer from the damage.
The longer the battle, the more disadvantageous it is.Japan's inferiority in the Pacific War was partly due to its inability to attack the U.S. mainland at all.
Can economic sanctions stop Russia's war?The cause of the war has not yet been discussed.
President Vladimir Putin has no intention of stopping the war amid economic sanctions imposed on Russia.In a telephone conversation with French President Jacques Macron, he said, "We will not stop attacking Ukraine until Russia has achieved its goals."Many media outlets, including Japan, predict that Russia will eventually end the war due to economic sanctions, but this is not the case.What is needed mainly to wage war is weapons to fight, fuel to power them, and food for soldiers.If these are missing, it will be difficult to continue the war.The idea that it is economically disadvantageous and profitable is a prewar discussion.
I want you to remember Japan's past history.Japan was surrounded by ABCDs.This is a siege of A=America (USA), B=Britain (UK), C=China (China), and D=Dutch (Netherlands).As a result, Japan was blocked from ironwork, oil, and food, which were essential for the continuation of the war.What was the result?The Great East Asian War and the Pacific War began.The economic blockade is threatening the survival of the country, and Japan had been trying to build an Asian economic bloc by further promoting the idea of a "Great East Asian Co-prosperity Zone."The idea of a great East Asian co-prosperity zone was to expel Western colonial rule in Asia, and economic sanctions would compensate for the loss caused by developing the development of the great East Asian co-prosperity zone.
When it comes to weapons, Russia is one of the world's leading military powers, and there are a lot of weapons already manufactured.In terms of fuel, Russia ranked seventh in the world in oil reserves and overtaken Saudi Arabia in 2010 as the world's largest oil producer.In terms of food, Russia's grain self-sufficiency rate is 124%.In other words, what is needed to continue the war is mainly available in Russia.
Mining is also active, producing 32% iron, 31% nickel, 27% tin, 21% cobalt, and 14% uranium of global production, as well as copper, lead, zinc, aluminum, titanium, gold, platinum, and diamond.Moreover, exports of fuel and energy products, mainly oil and natural gas, account for two-thirds of Russia's total exports, and European countries cannot engage in economic activities without purchasing natural gas from Russia.Therefore, this part is not subject to economic sanctions.So, will this stop the war?
Even in the past, the only way to stop the war was to defeat the enemy or to eliminate the cause of the war.Economic sanctions did not stop Japan's military it had little resources at that time.
Looking at the current situation in Russia, it seems that they have no intention of stopping the invasion of Ukraine.Attempts to persuade Putin should continue, but it seems impossible to stop the march unless the fundamental problem would be solved.
