With only three days left before the South Korean presidential election, what is the contrast between the two manifestos and Japan - South Korea relations?
2022-03-06
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Korea's presidential election is just around the corner
The Korean presidential election is only three days away.According to the latest opinion polls, the two seem to be at odds with each other's throats.In the past presidential election, it seems that the dominant candidate in the last poll won the election.Generally speaking, voter turnout is not the only way to go up.If the turnout is low, it will benefit the conservatives as well as the current administration.If voter turnout rises, those who are not usually interested in politics will participate in politics, which will be motivated to change the status quo.
Floating Moon Jae In
Moon Jae In was working hard on how to get floating votes.This is the minimum wage increase and the feminist movement.And, it succeeded in winning floating votes for young people and women.The result is the worst policy, but the ２０２２ manifesto shows that there are many contrasting and worrying parts.Lee Jae-myung said, "It includes correcting Moon Jae In's mistakes.Specific industrial investments will create jobs, and urban functions would be dispersed as a countermeasure soaring land prices in Seoul.Yoon Seok-yeol, on the other hand, advocates attracting and increasing investment through the free economy.This is in contrast to industrial investment by large governments and job creation by small governments.
Pro-China or pro-American
Lee Jae-myeong is pro-China and Yoon Seok-yeol is pro-U.S. in terms of diplomacy and defense.Yoon Seok-yeol mentioned the deployment of additional Saad.This means that the agreement with China will be scrapped.This means that China will confront China, but China is likely to impose economic sanctions on the Korean economy, which is highly dependent on China.Lee Jae-myeong did not mention the relationship with Japan, and Yoon demanded an apology and compensation from Japan.Does this mean that Japan-South Korea relations will be included in the U.S.-Japan relationship, rather than immediately restoring Japan-South Korea relations?In any case, if the right wins, there will be room for future negotiations from the Japanese side.However, relations between Japan and South Korea will end again when they demand an apology and compensation for the Japanese Military comfort woman issue.
POINT No matter which candidate wins, I don't think I can expect much about Japan-South Korea relations.
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Prime Minister Kishida and South Korea's next president, Yoon Seok - Yeol, have a telephone conversation. Will there be any changes in foreign policy?
Regarding Yun Seok-Yeol's telephone talk with Prime Minister Kishida of Japan following the US, the South Korean Ministry of Foreign Affairs' foreign policy states that ``we will strengthen mutual assistance with China, Japan, and Russia, centering on the South Korea-US alliance. ”, which indicates that the telephone conversation did not follow the order of current foreign policy.
Looking at South Korea's diplomatic white paper for 2021, it uses expressions for Japan that are a step above the terms ``closest neighbor'' and ``neighboring country,'' and after looking into it, it appears that this expression has been adopted in 2020.
Similarly, in 2020, Japan reinstated the expression "important neighbor", which had been removed in 2018 and 2019. Although this appears to be in response to South Korea's move, it is a step down from the "most important neighboring country" that was used up until 2017.
Since this was a telephone conversation to report on the election, I don't think it will have a direct impact on Japan's diplomatic blueprint for 2022, but since the South Korean president will be inaugurated in May, it is important for the country to be able to carry out full-fledged diplomatic activities. will be after that.
It may be necessary to check the 2022 edition of the Diplomatic Bluebook to see if there will be any changes in Japan's foreign policy in the future
What are your expectations for President Yun Seok-yue? Twisted National Assembly is a thorny road - Should Japan approve or wait and see? - South Korea's general election will be held in 2024.
Positive theory of Japan-Korea relations and wait-and-see theory
Remains twisted until 2024
Will true speech be freed under the new administration
Korean society will be denounced if it affirms Japanese rule
A country where there is no freedom of speech about history
Looking at Japanese public opinion regarding the prospects for Japan-Korea relations since the inauguration of the Yun Seok-Yeol administration, there are some positive views toward improving relations and a wait-and-see view seen mainly on the right. As always, the affirmative opinion has no concrete content, and since the other party is asking for an improvement in the relationship, things will probably get better. It's just a matter of trying to get along because we're neighboring countries.
The wait-and-see theory is based on the points of the Korean unified local elections in June and the national election in 2024, and that the Democratic Party (a pro-China, anti-Japanese party) holds the majority of the Korean National Assembly.Twisted stateTherefore, unless the ruling party wins the power of the people in the 2024 general election, no bill will be passed, so nothing can be done. Until then, Japan should do nothing and wait and see.
The least I can say is that I don't expect Japan-Korea relations to deteriorate any further during the next five years of the next administration. Personally, I think that if things don't get any worse, there's no need for them to get any better. In other words, there is a necessary distance between Japan and South Korea. This may be the best distance relationship.
In the long run, it would be most effective if the speech of pro-Japanese groups was liberated, rather than if the anti-Japanese movement subsided on the surface. In addition to those who prefer Japanese culture in South Korea, pro-Japanese speech is another form of speech that has been suppressed regarding the annexation of Japan and South Korea and Japan's support for South Korea after the war. Japan has no choice but to wait for South Korea to change, but there is no sign of that happening at all. The appearance of calm on the surface is only a temporary phenomenon. The root of Japan-Korea relations lies within South Korea, where freedom of speech is not recognized regarding the past history of Japan and South Korea. It is impossible to publicly state the fact that the Korean Peninsula modernized under Japanese rule.
Under Japanese rule, slaves, who accounted for half of the population, were liberated, the class system was abolished, a school education system was established, food self-sufficiency increased, starvation deaths decreased sharply, sanitary conditions improved, and cholera and typhoid fever were reduced. The number of deaths due to such things has decreased dramatically. These are facts that do not exist in Korea.
In South Korea's historical perspective, those who affirmed Japanese rule were expelled from academia in order to make the history of being enslaved and violated by Japan into a fact. He was also expelled from politics and government, and media outlets were also blocked. This is an unobjective view of history that only accepts one opinion, and is not academic in the first place. At the root of Japan-Korea relations is this unilaterally created view of history and the education of history based on that view. Unless this changes, we can see that even if the government continues to work together as it has done in the past, it will crumble like a sandcastle. This is exactly what history has proven.
In other words, improving Japan-Korea relations means that South Korea itself will gain academic and speech freedom, that scholars who support Japanese rule will return to academia, that they will return to politics, and that South Korea will become a democratic country where people can have free discussions. . Without this, anti-Japanese education will never disappear. This is an issue that requires the process of South Korea maturing as a democratic country, so it will take a very long time. Therefore, Japan should continue to keep its distance and not approach them easily.
If we look at the past, we are skeptical that politics will improve Japan-Korea relations. This problem is that academic and freedom of speech have not been secured in South Korea in the history of Japan and South Korea.
The ''North-South division issue'' and the future aimed at by Kim Gu - Lee Jae-myung's assertion is an unrealizable hypothesis.
South Korean Democratic Party members Moon Jae-in and Lee Jae-myung cite Kim Gu as the politician they most respect. Kim Gu was a person who served as the president of the provisional government of the Republic of Korea. He rejected the postwar state of US-Soviet trust between North and South Korea and proposed a plan to unify the peninsula among the Korean people, but this idea was rejected by Kim Il-sung of North Korea. It was an unrealizable idea that would be denied by the United States as well. After a political dispute, Syngman Rhee, who was recommended by the United States, became president, and Kim Gu was subsequently assassinated.
Lee Jae-myung recently told a US senator that the North and South were divided because of the US. I guess he is trying to say that if he had done what Kim Gu said at that time, there would have been no Korean War or division between North and South. However, there is absolutely no basis for this "if". At that time, there were no people in Japan or abroad who supported this idea.
Kim Gu's ideas did not produce any results in the environment of the time. Based on this premise, there are no objective facts in history; all that exists is the existence of South Korea and North Korea since the founding of the nation more than 70 years ago. North Korea established the current state of North Korea without paying any attention to Kim Gu's claims.
In other words, it is logically impossible to trace back to Kim Gu's assertion what the basis for the unification of North and South is advocated by the No. 1 and No. 2 members of the Democratic Party of Japan. They are the most pro-North Korean and pro-China faction in the South Korean National Assembly. Even now, that claim is not appreciated at all by North Korea, the United States, or even China.
Korean tourists rush to travel to Japan after the visa - free ban is lifted - Where did the No Japan movement disappear?
Diplomatic relations restored despite dislike
South Korean government does not communicate details of restoration of diplomatic relations
Same as Japan-Korea annexation
Korean tourists flock to Japan, which they hate
Many Japanese wonder why they restored diplomatic relations if they hated it so much. Did the South Korean government explain to the people the reason for the restoration of diplomatic relations? There could be many reasons.
(1) We have entered an era in which it is essential to restore diplomatic relations between Japan and South Korea amidst postwar South Korea-US relations and international trends. ? Because it was judged that restoring diplomatic relations with Japan would have great economic benefits for the economy, which had suffered after the Korean War. ?The conditions presented by the Japanese side for the restoration of diplomatic relations were beneficial for Korea's future, and the benefits of concluding the treaty were recognized.
? and ? are the prerequisites for the restoration of diplomatic relations, but ? is something that cannot be explained to the public. As a result, its contents have never been explained to this day. South Korea seems to want to be in the position of reluctantly restoring diplomatic relations, but the content of the agreement was almost like a unilateral contract that contained only the benefits for South Korea. If you think about it, the same thing can be said about the annexation of Japan and Korea.
The background to the annexation of Japan and Korea is as follows:
(1) It became impossible to stop Russia's interests. ? Domestic turmoil made it impossible to collect information. ? I thought it would be beneficial to consider national stability by being incorporated into Japan.
Regarding this, the purpose of the above-mentioned annexation is clearly stated in the imperial admonition issued by the Sun Song Dynasty (the last emperor of the Joseon Dynasty) at the time of the annexation, but the story is that Japan annexed it by force. That's the translation.
As a result, during the annexation era, the Korean peninsula reluctantly accepted modernization, its population grew reluctantly, and it reluctantly went to school, and now it reluctantly negotiates with Japan and reluctantly trades with Japan. And I have no choice but to reluctantly go on a trip to Japan. Is the No Japan movement a movement that tells people not to buy Japanese products if they don't want to? It is understandable in that sense, but the government changed and Koreans reluctantly began traveling to Japan.
Korea, where the government recognizes history, will not be revised even if new facts are discovered.
History is just a collection of cognition.History of the past is incorporated into history in accordance with the interpretation that it is the same with one sentence, one letter, and one word.It is impossible to prepare enough evidence in history to confirm the facts in the current trial.
History recognized as the past is corrected by newly discovered facts.It is a case in which conflicting statements are found in past views that have been found.Whenever new facts are discovered in historians' quest, historical cognition is corrected.
In Japan, new facts have been discovered and history has been reviewed one after another.U.S. military information such as Hullnotes, which triggered the start of the Pacific War, has been released one after another after the deadline for confidentiality.As a result, the U.S. military's Sea of Japan chart, which is the basis for the start of the war and the dropping of atomic bombs, and the establishment of borders in Sea of Japan after the war, has been discovered and revised.
How do you explain that the photo in the textbook, which was published as a forced work man in Korea, was found to be a Japanese working in a coal mine and canceled it?
King Gojong, for example, is said to have failed to sign the Japan-South Korea annexation treaty.What would happen if King Gojong found a new note saying he was in favor of the annexation treaty?Will Korea correct history?
If the Japanese government is to be found guilty of the Japanese Military Sexual Slavery issue, it must at least present substantiable evidence under current law.It is evidence to support when, who, how, and in what way.There is no such evidence and is sentenced only by testimony.
History is like a creature that is constantly examined, supplemented, and corrected within the bounds of academic freedom.Therefore, it is impossible for the government or the judiciary to determine history.
The "no distortion of history " and "pro-Japanese praise ban " proposed in South Korea are laws that do not change the history of Koreans being enslaved under Japanese rule and prohibit the development of the Korean Peninsula under Japanese rule.
In other words, the legislature is submitting legislation that restricts freedom of speech and suppresses academic freedom.
Historical problems are basically problems between historians.The government of that time cannot recognize history.
