Putin and Macron hold telephone talks - Armistice negotiations make no progress - Helson Province falls.
2022-03-04
Category:Ukraine
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Putin held a telephone conversation with Macron
In a telephone conversation with French President Jacques Macron on August 3, Putin said, "The most important thing is Ukraine's demilitarization and neutrality, so that there is no threat to Russia."
The occupied of Helson.
The governor of the southern Ukrainian state of Helson, adjacent to Crimea, announced on August 3 that the state government building was completely occupied due to the control of the Zapolizia nuclear power plant.It is the first time that a Russian invasion has captured a major Ukrainian city.The second truce between Ukraine and Russia was held on the same day, but no progress was made in the negotiations, and the two countries agreed to set up a "humanitarian corridor" to evacuate civilians and decided to hold the second round.
Time-buying negotiations for ceasefire
Putin told President Macron that it would not change its demands for demilitarization and neutrality in negotiations, saying that the purpose of the military operation could be achieved in any case.Russia is currently operating in various regions, and it is reported that the advance to Kiev is 25 kilometers behind schedule, but some say that the armistice negotiations are simply buying Russian time.
Countries are putting pressure on Russia through economic sanctions and UN resolutions, but Putin's will is as shown on August 3.He's going to get the Black Sea, and will Odessa be his next goal?
POINT Putin reiterated his determination to carry out the operation and is determined to continue the battle.More than one million refugees are reportedly fleeing Ukraine.
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Continued invasion of Ukraine - The Iraq War lasted for 8 years and 9 months with the participation of more than 40 countries.
There is a view that Russia is not as strong as expected as it was revealed in this invasion of Ukraine. Ukraine has a population of about 44 million and the regular army has a population of about 210,000. Russia has a population of 140 million and the Russian army has a population of 900,000. Ukraine's GDP is 55th in the world, lower than Iraq. And in terms of location, it can be said that the Russian army is most likely to invade because it is a neighboring country. Belarus and Russia can also invade the capital Kyiv. Even so, even one month after the start of the war, it has not been suppressed. It is attracting attention in the sense that it is possible to fight so far just by providing weapons from developed countries.
The Iraq War lasted eight years and nine months. An airstrike on Baghdad by the US military was carried out on March 20, 2003, and Saddam Hussein was captured on December 13, 2003. More than 40 countries, including the United States and other developed countries, allies, and friendly countries, have made military intervention in Iraq. Still, it took eight years and nine months to conquer the whole of Iraq. What is different from Ukraine is that Iraq and its neighbors Turkey, Syria, Jordan and Saudi Arabia have not participated in the operation, and the countries that have conducted military intervention are dispatched to distant places.
After the capture of Hussein, destabilization in Iraq and guerrilla warfare continued. Even if we count the capture of Hussein, it will be about 9 months. Without nuclear weapons, it would take so much time to conquer a country even with modern weapons. And the common keyword is "national defense". In this sense, the Ukrainian war is likely to be prolonged if the goal is to control the whole country. On the other hand, Russia has said from the beginning that it is not thinking of controlling the whole of Ukraine. At what stage will the ceasefire agreement be reached? It presupposes that Russia's original goals will be achieved to some extent. There are many difficulties in the current negotiations as to how much Ukraine can accept Russia's demands.
90,000 Russian troops gather near the border. Will there be an invasion of Ukraine? Relationship between Putin and Zelensky.
Regarding his neighboring country Ukraine, President Putin appealed that ``Russians and Ukrainians are one people,'' and on July 12, he published a paper on the ``historical unity'' of the two countries. In a televised dialogue with the people on June 30, Mr. Putin was asked about relations with Ukraine, and he said, ``I don't think the Ukrainian people are unfriendly to us,'' and said, both peoples. said, ``We are one nation.''. On the other hand, he claimed that ``Ukraine's leadership is unfriendly,'' and argued that the problem lies with Zelensky's government, which is under Western influence.
President Putin criticizes current President Zelenskiy by name.
President Zelenskiy became president in 2019 with high approval ratings, but he is currently requesting that he join NATO. At a press conference on November 26, Mr. Zelenskiy said he had received information that a coup d'état was being planned for December 1, and also mentioned the possibility that Russia and top business conglomerates were involved.
I wonder if Russia will directly invade Ukraine in the form of war, as 90,000 Russian soldiers are currently gathered near the border. The supply of natural gas destined for Europe is said to be limited to about 4%.
The Communtern's strategy is to provoke other countries into internal conflict. Taking advantage of the internal conflict created, they intervene under the pretext of protecting Russians. The same pattern as in Crimea can be considered. Since Mr. Zelensky's approval rating is currently around 20%, it appears that Mr. Putin is trying to shake up Ukraine in order to oust Mr. Zelensky.
Russia also appears to be trying to shake up Zelenskiy's government from within Ukraine by applying military pressure on Ukraine.
Putin recognized Ukraine's pro - Russian forces independence. This is the mean that Russia will not to attack Ukraine.
On February 22, Putin recognized the independence of the People's Republic of Lugansk and the People's Republic of Ukraine.The Minsk Agreement (Minsk Protocol) was signed on September 5, 2014 in the People's Republic of Lugansk, the Donetsk People's Republic, Ukraine, and Russia. The agreement was virtually nullified and the civil war resumed.
The Crimean Peninsula issue is based on the involvement of Russian troops in order to make Crimean Peninsula independent and protect Russian residents.As a result, Crimea decided to join Russia through a referendum.
Putin has consistently said he will not attack Ukraine, but this is the answer.They will not attack Ukraine, but they will attack Lugansk and Donetsk.For Russia, the region is not Ukraine.
There are 1,497,170 people in the People's Republic of Lukansk and 2,299,120 people in the People's Republic of Tonetsk, totaling 3,796,290 people.Ukraine has a population of 44.13 million, so 8.6% of the population will leave.population of 1,967,000 on the Crimean Peninsula, In this recalculation, Russia will get for 12.5% of Ukraine's population.
If Ukrainian troops attack the People's Republic of Lugansk and the People's Republic of Donetsk, Russia and Ukraine will start a war.Russia's will not attack on Ukraine and not lead to war, but Ukraine's attack on the People's Republic of Lugansk and Donetsk lead to war.
Above all, NATO membership requires that the country is not in a state of civil war.If Ukraine claims that Lugansk and Donetsk belong to their own territory, the armistice agreement will be nullified, and if Ukraine tries to suppress it, it will become civil war and will not be able to join NATO.
Putin have made it clear that he will not attack Ukraine.Mr. Putin seems to be one step better than Mr. Biden.
Former President Trump praised Putin as a
Former President Donald Trump praised Putin's move as "savvy" and "genius."President Vladimir Putin may be a genius given the speed, timing, and results of his strategic implementation, regardless of what he has done since the Russian military was stationed near the Ukrainian border.On the other hand, the situation in Europe and the United States is regrettable.NATO members in Europe and the United States have declared in advance that they will not send troops to Ukraine.That would have been a card that didn't need to be shown.This is a huge negotiation card.
This is a way of persuading Russia to stop attacking Ukraine because NATO will not send troops to Ukraine.The way to discourage Putin is to do economic sanctions and arms aid to Ukraine.President Zelensky's desire to join NATO after the Crimean crisis is natural, but how was the process designed? He seems to have approached the U.S. or rushed to apply for NATO membership.Ukraine is the country that knows Russia's intentions best, and it seems that it has suddenly abandoned its role as a buffer between Western Europe and Russia.What are the benefits of buffer countries?Ukraine is the country that can enjoy its benefits between EU and Russia.
In terms of profits, what do NATO think?What are the benefits of Ukraine joining NATO?Or what are the advantages of Ukraine's entry into the Western economic bloc?It is hard to believe that Ukraine has proposed these proposals in detail and detail.If Ukraine had continued to build alliances with other countries in its one-to-one relationship, and if NATO membership has existed in the future, where is this process?As a result, Western Europe openly abandoned Ukraine ,and the United States also in an instant.Putin had carefully observed these relationships ,and seems to have recognized the independence of pro-Russian forces in Ukraine.
Ukraine has lost part of its country, and is there still a way to join NATO?They need to prepare for Putin's next strategy.
The 400 - strong Zelensky assassination unit was deployed in Kiev, Ukraine.What is the possibility of using strategic nuclear weapons? Russian President Vladimir Putin sent mercenaries from Africa to Kiev in order to kill 23 key figures, including Ukrainian President Zelensky.The Times reported on Feb 27.Putin is known to had sent 400 of his closest Russian mercenary agents to Kiev from Belarus.The unit uses mobile phones and other devices to "always know where President Zelensky is and is waiting for a green light from the client."
The murder squad is a dangerous story.But Ukraine's statement that the Russian army failed to invade Kiev.Russian army is stopped to be stuck 30 kilometers from Kiev.However, according to British intelligence, 400 assassins have already entered Kiev.Under this strategy, even if Europe and the United States announce that they will provide weapons to Ukraine, such weapons will not help much.The enemy is watching for a chance to kill Zelensky without knowing where the enemy is.
Another concern is that Putin has issued a special alert to the nuclear deterrent force.The order is to prepare for the use of nuclear weapons, but there are many kinds of nuclear weapons, and there are strategic nuclear weapons that can cause nuclear explosions and destroy small area.It is small enough to be equipped with fighter missiles, so there is no need to hit correctly the enemy.Aircraft carriers can destroy if they fall near them, and even in land warfare, if dropped in areas where enemy battalions are located, the troops will be destroyed.
There are some questions whether the Russian military will fail to attack Kiev, the closest neighboring country.If so, the Russian army will not be able to subdue any country.If we hear that Russian troops are withdrawing, we will think about the possibility of using strategic nuclear weapons.
It seems that Ukraine and Russia are currently negotiating a ceasefire on the Belarus border, but according to British intelligence, Russia is not willing to accept the ceasefire at all.