The exchange won rate has not stopped falling.The No Japan movement is a campaign to buy domestic products.Nothing will change under the chaebol economy.

Photo by okaybuild (licensed under pixabay)

South Korean Industrial structure vulnerable to exchange rate fluctuations

South Korea's trade dependence on GDP is more than ７０ percent, including the service sector.In other words, domestic demand is low and foreign exchange is directly affected.Even if foreign demand is received, it does not circulate at home and flows abroad.If the person who made the purchase contract increases the dollar by ５% at the time of payment, the payment will increase by ５%.The won-dollar exchange rate is １,２００ won, but it has been hovering around １,２００ won in recent days.

Default due to bulk purchases

In order to maintain international competitiveness, chaebol companies such as SAMSUNG buy parts in bulk and produce them in bulk to reduce costs and sell them at low prices.In this case, large debts are always carried out and large payments are repeated, and problems arise when the value of the currency changes significantly during that period.This is the so-called default.Under these circumstances, the won's international credit rating has not increased, and South Korean companies can trade in dollars depending on the L/C of Japanese commercial banks.

South Korea experienced two foreign exchange crises in １９９７ and ２００８.No country will experience two foreign exchange crises in １０ years.In other words, South Korea's industrial form is vulnerable, and in short, it is trading beyond its currency capabilities.

Considering what Moon Jae In wants to do, the real intention is to socialize, control the currency, and stabilize the value of the won.Do you think the boycott is a campaign to buy domestic goods if it is reversed?

Only chaebol companies can grow

The reason why domestic demand is not expanding is the existence of chaebol companies.The role of chaebol companies in driving the Korean economy is important, but on the other hand, investment in chaebol companies is concentrated and other industries are not growing.In addition to the businesses run by chaebol companies, how can Korean companies grow globally?It can only be done with its own money without investment.

The boycott Japan fundamentally solves nothing

This structure will not change even if there is a boycott Japan.As a currency manipulator, even if it leaves the liberal economy, it will not change.It is necessary for the government to take the lead in fostering domestic demand and to attract investment in what industries to foster domestic small and medium-sized enterprises.The boycott Japan does not mean that South Korean domestic companies' sales will increase.