The Chinese Communist Party's economic takeover - dependence on the Chinese economy is the same as being taken over - young people with no vested interests are the key.
2021-10-10
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Xi Jinping's strategy
At the １１０th Anniversary of the Xinhai Revolution, President Xi Jinping cited the "One China" principle and the "１９９２ Consensus" based on it, and stated that the two countries would "promote the peaceful development of cross-strait relations." This is a worrisome statement, considering that he will never do the right thing in terms of Taiwan policy. On October ４, a record ５６ Chinese aircraft entered Taiwan's airspace. Since the beginning of October, there have been a total of １４９ airspace intrusions, but by the ５th, this had dropped sharply to just one aircraft.
Will peaceful dialogue be possible
Biden has called for peaceful dialogue with democratically elected leaders, but the issue remains focused on Taiwan's next presidential election. If Taiwan's next president becomes pro-China and moves toward unification with China, the United States will not interfere as long as the conclusion is reached through peaceful dialogue. It also means.
Reach out to any target
Direct bribery of politicians seems like something out of a TV drama, but China's strategy is much more elaborate. Communist Party members are reaching out to politicians' families, relatives, friends, politicians' support bases, and organizations.
If politicians' supporters were given huge amounts of wealth through business with China, they would easily turn over, and they would sniff out cheating, traffic accidents, tax evasion, minor legal violations, etc. of the politicians themselves and those around them. Collect information. To do this, they will use all sorts of methods, including hacking and wiretapping communication devices, and installing mechanisms to send information to the Chinese Communist Party into the communication devices themselves.
Taiwan was one step away from unification
Before President Tsai Ing-wen, the era of President Ma Ying-jeou was one step closer to unification. Young people's votes played a key role in President Tsai Ing-wen's re-election. The key to the next election will be how to encourage young people, who have fewer business interests and other interests, to vote.
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Democracy in Taiwan
At the first-ever Sino-Taiwan summit in November 2015, President Ma Ying-jeou and Xi Jinping confirmed that mainland China and Taiwan belong to China and maintain the "one China" principle and the "ninety-two common knowledge."The birth of President Tsai Ying was in May 2016, so it happened only half a year ago.
President Lee Teng-hui's "two countries" (China and Taiwan are different countries) were easily overturned here, returning to the position of one country, two systems, and one China.With the birth of President Tsai Ying-cheng and the current trend of leaving China, Taiwan's independence theory is still in its infancy.The dramatic reversal of Tsai's re-election in 2020 is that the Kuomintang candidate had a higher approval rating until just before.
Taiwan's first direct presidential election was in 1996.It's been about 25 years.
Biden said, "China should have a good conversation with Taiwan's democratically elected leader.I said.What does this mean?In Taiwan's presidential election in 2024, the Democratic Progressive Party and the Kuomintang received 28.3 percent and 21.9 percent respectively.Historically, Taiwan has been leaning toward China or moving toward independence, but this pendulum-like problem will continue as long as it holds elections as a democratic country.Only the annexation of China or the declaration of independence can end the problem.The Biden administration is in favor of "one China policy."
China's "one China principle " and the United States' "one China policy " are different.China regards Taiwan as part of China's "one China principle," the U.S. "one China policy" means recognizing China's representative government as the People's Republic of China, not Taiwan as part of China.It is only acknowledged that China is making such a claim.At first glance, East Asia's policies seem to follow Trump's, but they are fundamentally different.It also implicitly conveys that if the pro-China faction wins again in Taiwan, the U.S. will not interfere.
If Taiwan does not specify independence, it will be asked whether it will reach China or independence every election, and that will be an opportunity for China to take advantage of it.
Democratic Progressive Party Lai Qingtoku wins Taiwan presidential election | If pro - China forces win, the Taiwan Strait will become China's property.
With the Democratic Progressive Party's victory, how does President Xi Jinping view the results in China? The result was an overwhelming victory for Taiwan's independence force, the Democratic Progressive Party. Looking at the Taiwanese parliament, the Kuomintang has made a comeback, giving the impression that the Taiwanese people have given orders to the Democratic Progressive Party when it comes to domestic policy. The Kuomintang has 52 seats, the Democratic Party has 51, and the People's Party has 8. The Taiwanese people are no longer pro-China as a national polity, and perhaps because they have doubts about domestic politics, looking at the number of seats, it seems likely that the People's Party will hold the casting board when it comes to legislation.
In the first place, the victory of the pro-independence Democratic Party in the presidential election can be said to be a major achievement. The Taiwanese People's Party was viewed as a force that could divide votes. The Democratic People's Party's position is that it maintains peace through dialogue with both China and the United States, but to be clear, the Taiwan issue is not connected to the US-China conflict, but is rather an issue within the US-China conflict. The reality is that Taiwan exists in China, and on the other hand, I don't think Taiwan can act as a bridge between China and the United States.
Looking at the theme of war from a different perspective, this election was a fight between the Kuomintang and the People's Party to avoid war, and the Democratic Party to protect democracy even in the event of war. This is probably the correct answer. It is said that the decisions of young people will have a large impact on the outcome of this election, just like the last one, and the voting age will be lowered to 18 in 2023. Taking note of this, the Chinese Communist Party has been threatening you, saying that in the event of war, you, the young people, will be the ones who die.
The focus of this election was on what kind of decisions young people would make amidst this intimidation and coaxing. The Democratic Progressive Party's theme was ``choosing between dictatorship and democracy.'' As a result, table splitting fails in the opposite direction. If the theme is war, if you add up the factions that advocated war avoidance, that side will be the majority. Of course, the issue of China was not the only theme in the presidential election, but in the end, the Democratic Progressive Party won, with the votes split among those calling for war avoidance and reconciliation with China.
It goes without saying that Japan would prefer a victory for the Democratic Party. I have nothing but doubts about the Japanese media, which has not shown much interest in the Taiwanese election even though it says that the Taiwanese emergency is a Japanese emergency. A lieutenant general from a Chinese military think tank recently said that the Senkaku Islands are also on the horizon for an invasion of Taiwan, and if the pro-China faction wins the election, China will control the Taiwan Strait, an area through which oil tankers, Japan's lifeline, pass. This is because it suppresses the If that happens, Japan will continue to be threatened by China semi-permanently.
From the perspective of Ukraine war, Taiwan is same case emergency.What position should we take on Taiwan?
What would happen if we looked at the Taiwan issue in response to NATO's unilateral move to the military demarcation line by joining Ukraine?The Japanese media have put Russia and China on the same page, and what if China invades Taiwan like Russia?Is this really the only way to build a theory?Why don't Japan and the U.S. want Taiwan to belong to China?This is because China want to shifted dramatically the military demarcation line.
In Japan, lawmakers argue that if Taiwan is taken, it will be the Senkaku Islands.In the Albanian resolution, the United Nations decided to make the People's Republic of China the representative government of China.The U.S. and Japan agree that the issue of representation itself does not mean that Taiwan will lose its independence, but neither Japan nor the U.S. has no agreement on document, and has no diplomatic relations with Taiwan and has not approved it.This is the basis for China's claim that Taiwan is China.Currently, only 15 countries have diplomatic relations with Taiwan.Among them, only 13 countries expressed their support for Taiwan's participation at the U.N. General Assembly in September 2021, without Japan and the United States.
In this case, the policy that Taiwan would be separated from China, recognized independently, established diplomatic relations, and signed a treaty with allies are similar to Russia's plan to protect Lugansk and Donetsk.On the contrary, China, like Ukraine, will criticize the U.S. and Japan and send defense forces.In other words, we are sitting on the Russian side of the Taiwan issue.
Originally, Ukraine was considered a Taiwan issue, but it was a military demarcation line issue before the issue of national sovereignty.Past history has shown that unilateral changes in the military demarcation line could lead to war.What China wants to do is take over Taiwan and change the military demarcation line significantly.If NATO is in this situation, how can it defend Taiwan militarily?
It goes without saying that Japan must cooperate with the U.S. to face China in order to defend Taiwan.We need to make it clear that we will not allow changes to the military demarcation line.
Will Miss. Chou Ting's message reach Taiwanese youth? - What is the ripple effect of his declaration of asylum in Canada?
After Miss. Chou Ting announced his intention to seek asylum in Canada, Hong Kong police said they would do everything in their power to arrest him since the December 29 deadline for his return to the country had passed. Mr. Shuba also mentioned the existence of secret police and the danger of being targeted by spies. He went to Canada to study abroad in September 2023.
The Hong Kong protests are said to have been triggered by China's National People's Congress's decision in 2014 to restrict the number of candidates for the post of chief executive of Hong Kong. At this time, a large demonstration occurred and was also called the Umbrella Movement. Since then, demonstrations against the enactment of the Fugitive Offenders Act and the National Security Act have continued to grow in scale and have been reported around the world. Mr. Shutei is considered to be one of the central figures.
The enactment of these laws will be seen as a de facto collapse of one country, two systems, and investment in Hong Kong from various countries will be withdrawn one after another, accelerating China's current isolation. Mr. Shuba was subsequently arrested and detained, but the charges were relatively light and he was sentenced to 10 months in prison, although he was actually released after about 6 months.
It appeared to be an attempt by the Chinese government to suppress the demonstrations and appease the ringleaders. I wonder if it means that they don't want to provoke the students any more, or they don't want to provoke other countries, but what happened after that was Mr. Shuba's study abroad. I was honestly surprised by this as well. I wonder if a person who incited the people and caused a large-scale demonstration in China could study abroad.This seems like a placating measure, but I imagine that Taiwan could be an extension of this.
It is said that students from the Sunflower Movement in Taiwan taught Hong Kong students how to demonstrate. This led to large-scale demonstrations in Hong Kong, and the enthusiasm returned to Taiwan, leading to a dramatic come-from-behind victory in Taiwan's presidential election in 2017 for Tsai Ing-wen, who was said to be at a disadvantage. Taiwan will become the next Hong Kong. The younger generation's sense of crisis about the end of Taiwan's democracy had a major impact on electoral behavior. If the spark was smoldering in Hong Kong, it could once again influence Taiwan's elections. On the other hand, the fact that Mr. Zhou Ting is able to study abroad in Canada freely could be used to appeal to young Taiwanese people.
This is a de facto declaration of asylum at this timing. The timing of the Taiwan presidential election was probably decided to be at the end of this year because it was held on December 3rd, Miss. Chou Ting's birthday, and the deadline for returning to Japan was December 29th. is January 13, 2024. If the Chinese government had been aiming for a placating policy, the message that Mr. Zhouting's life was in danger was the complete opposite, and the news was sure to reach Taiwan as well. The goddess of democracy is alive and well.
Although the United States don't save Ukraine, will the United States save Taiwan?Taiwan's more complicated problem than Ukraine's
There was a question mark on how the Ukraine issue would affect the Taiwan issue and whether the U.S. would send U.S. troops to defend Taiwan if China advanced to Taiwan.Where does Ukraine belong? Ukraine is an independent country independent of the former Soviet Union in 1991.Is Taiwan independent or where does it belong?Taiwan was incorporated into Japan after the Sino-Japanese War and came under Japanese rule.It existed as Japan for 50 years until the end of World War II.Under the San Francisco Peace Treaty, Taiwan will be returned.It is unclear where it was returned.It only says that Japan renounces Taiwan.After the civil war, the Communist Party of China ruled the mainland and the government of the Republic of China fled to Taiwan.In 1949, the Communist Party of China established the People's Republic of China.This was established as a different government from the Republic of China.Since the San Francisco Peace Conference was held in 1951, the international community has not determined which government is more legitimate at this time, so the two governments have not participated in the peace conference.
The United Nations has been established as a coalition of victorious countries in World War II.China's representation was held by the Republic of China as a permanent member, but the Republic of China and the People's Republic of China will compete for representation.China's representative government was recognized as the People's Republic of China by the U.N. resolution in 1971, and the Republic of China will withdraw from the U.N.Japan and the United States had diplomatic relations with the Republic of China, but Japan established diplomatic relations with the People's Republic of China in 1972 and broke off diplomatic relations with the Republic of China.Since President Nixon's surprise visit to China in 1971, the United States established diplomatic relations with China in 1979 and severed diplomatic relations with Taiwan.
China now claims that Taiwan belongs to China because Japan had renounced Taiwan.However, there are many objections whether the U.N. resolution on Albania is interpreted as a matter of representation and determination to belong to Taiwan.If Taiwan was returned to the Republic of China, the Republic of China is Taiwan.Therefore, Taiwan insists that Taiwan is the successor to the Republic of China, while China insists that the People's Republic of China is the successor to the Republic of China.Now that we've come this far, it is hard to find a way at all, but the conclusion is that Ukraine's independence is much simpler.
Japan and the United States ,and the majority of countries do not have diplomatic relations with Taiwan. Contain with Japan and the United States and the majority of countries, the United Nations has ambiguoused Taiwan's attribution for long time.
